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The Grain-population Relationship and the Effect of Main Food Producing Areas in China

机译:中国主要粮食产区的粮食人口关系及其影响

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With the increase of global population, grain-popula- tion relationship has attracted great attention worldwide. In China, grain-population relationship has become an increasingly impor- tant economic concern. Of central importance to the food security debate in China is the geography of grain supply and demand. This paper uses a grain demand and supply index (DSR) to analyze the spatial-temporal relationship between population and grain in China from 1949 to 2007 at national and provincial scales. The results are examined in three periods. (1) From 1949 to 2007, with the increase of grain production, the relationship between popula- tion and grain of China improved considerably. (2) Over the past 35 years (1970-2005), on the whole the grain producing areas have had grain surplus and contributed to the nation by providing grain, but the ability to provide sufficient grain is not stable. (3) Over the past 15 years (1990-2005), decreases in planting area brought pres- sure on national grain food security. The paper concludes that the key to providing more food for the main food producing provinces is increasing yield on the basis of steady plant area.
机译:随着全球人口的增加,粮食与人口的关系在全世界引起了极大的关注。在中国,粮食与人口的关系已成为日益重要的经济问题。对于中国的粮食安全辩论,最重要的是谷物的供求地理。本文利用粮食供求指数(DSR),分析了1949年至2007年中国人口与粮食在国家和省级尺度上的时空关系。分三个阶段检查结果。 (1)从1949年到2007年,随着粮食产量的增加,中国人口与粮食的关系有了很大改善。 (2)在过去的35年中(1970年至2005年),总体而言,粮食产区的粮食过剩并通过提供谷物为国家做出贡献,但是提供足够粮食的能力并不稳定。 (3)在过去的15年中(1990-2005年),播种面积的减少给国家粮食安全带来了压力。本文的结论是,在稳定的植物面积的基础上,为主要粮食生产省提供更多粮食的关键是增加产量。

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