内蒙古自治区农业经济与农业生态环境耦合研究

摘要

[目的] 通过分析内蒙古自治区农业经济与农业生态环境耦合程度,从农业经济系统与农业生态环境系统中分别选取6个指标,构建农业经济与农业生态环境耦合关联模型,定量评判农业经济系统与农业生态环境系统交互作用的关联耦合度.[方法] 运用灰色关联分析法,选取2006~2016年内蒙古自治区农业经济与农业生态环境两个系统中12个不同的指标,研究两系统间的耦合关系.[结果] 2016年农业经济与农业生态环境的关联程度均较高,其中农业生产总值与农业生态环境的关联度最高,而人均农用机械总动力与农民人均纯收入与农业生态环境的平均关联度最低;2006~2016年间,内蒙古自治区农业经济系统的6个指标与农业生态环境系统的关联度均较高,农业生态环境系统的各项指标总体趋势起伏不大,呈稳步上升趋势;2006~2016年间,内蒙古自治区农业经济与农业生态环境的耦合度呈"小波浪"形趋势变化,整体的耦合度较高.[结论] 内蒙古自治区农业经济与农业生态环境处于高水平耦合阶段,为高度协调类型中的中级协调发展类.%By analyzing the coupling degree between agricultural economy and agricultural ecological environment in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, six indicators were selected respectively from agricultural economy system and agricultural ecological environment system, constructing a coupled model of agricultural economy and agricul-tural ecological environment,quantitatively evaluate the interactional coupling between agricultural economic system and agricultural ecological environment system. By using the gray relational analysis method,twelve different inde-xes of agricultural economy and agricultural ecological environment in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region from 2006 to 2016 were selected to study the degree of coupling between the two systems. In 2016,the degree of correla-tion between agricultural economy and agricultural ecological environment was relatively high,with the highest cor-relation between agricultural GDP and agricultural ecological environment and the lowest correlation between the per capita motive power of agricultural machinery, the per capita net income of farmers and the agricultural ecological environment. Between 2006 and 2016,the six indicators of the agricultural ecological environment system in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region were highly correlated with the agricultural ecological environment system. The over-all trend of the various indicators of agricultural ecological environment fluctuated steadily,showing a steady upward trend. From 2006 to 2016, the coupling degree of agricultural economy and agricultural ecological environment in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region showed a trend of"small wave" and the overall coupling degree was high. In-ner Mongolia Autonomous Region agricultural economy and agricultural ecological environment are in a high level of coupling stage.