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中国房地产形势与展望

         

摘要

“十二五”时期中国的房地产市场形势发生较大变化,房地产市场已从供不应求转向供求基本平衡、局部过剩,个别城市的房地产风险问题开始凸显,但房地产的整体风险尚处在可控状态.由于中国的房地产市场供求状况和发展阶段发生重大变化,预计“十三五”时期中国的房地产投资增速将继续放缓,对存量房屋的综合改造力度将会加大.建议根据房地产市场发展阶段的变化,适时调整房地产发展目标,更加重视提升房地产业发展水平和质量,不断改善居民居住条件,提高居住品质.要通过改革和政策调整,有效防范房地产市场风险,实现房地产市场的平稳运行.%Great changes have taken place in China's real estate market during the 12th Five-year Plan period.The real estate market has shifted from being undersupplied to having an equilibrium of supply and demand with regional oversupply.Real estate risks in some cities have begun to emerge,but overall real estate risks remain controllable.Given the major changes taking place in the supply and demand of China's real estate market and the current stage of its development,it is projected that China's real estate investment growth will continue to slow down during the 13th Five-year Plan period and pressures on the renovation of inventory housing will intensify.According to the changes in the development of China's current real estate market,the objectives of real estate development will be adjusted to put a higher premium on the development level,the quality of real estate development,and the improvement of housing conditions.Reform and policy adjustments should be carried out to effectively prevent real estate market risks and to achieve stable operations inside the real estate market itself.

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