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New Drivers of China's Industrial Growth in Its Late-Stage Industrialization and "New Normal"

机译:后期工业化和“新常态”是中国工业增长的新动力

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摘要

According to our analysis of variations in China's industrial growth rate, industrial demand, industrial structure, regional structure and the performance of industrial firms, China's industrial economy is moving towards a "new normal" of slower growth and structural improvement. This process coincides with the late stage of China's industrialization, which international experience suggests is often fraught with twists and challenges. Among these challenges, great attention must be paid to overcapacity, industrial restructuring and upgrades, and the "reindustrialization" of developed countries. As China enters the late stage of its industrialization, particularly during the 13th Five-Year Plan period from 2016 to 2020, the promotion of industrial development is of strategic significance for China to successfully complete industrialization and its economy to adapt to the "new normal". In the face of these new challenges regarding industrial development, policymakers must strive to increase the dynamism of growth for industrial economy. In this new era, the momentum of industrial growth derives from the integration of the supply impetus of industrialization and the pull of demand caused by urbanization, while the comprehensive deepening of reform provides the key source of momentum.

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