Probabilistic Approach of Coastal Defense Against Typhoon Attacks for Nuclear Power Plant

摘要

With the global warming and sea level rising,it is widely recognized that there is an increasing tendency of typhoon occurrence frequency and intensity.The defenses code against typhoon attacks for nuclear power plant should be calibrated because of the increasing threat of typhoon disaster and severe consequences.This paper discusses the probabilistic approach of definitions about "probable maximum typhoon" and "probable maximum storm surge" in nuclear safety regulations of China and has made some design code calibrations by use of a newly proposed Double Layer Nested Multi-objective Probability Model(DLNMPM).