矿业投资与工业产值关系研究

摘要

Mining industry is basic industry which is still the mainstay of the country's economy. The paper analyzes the long-run equilibrium relationship of mining investment and the industrial output by co-integration, namely, industrial output increases 5. 4% with 1% mining investment increasing; Meanwhile, short-term relationship of mining investment and the industrial output has been described by error correction model building and impulse response analyzing.%矿业作为基础产业,是国民经济发展的重要支柱.本文通过协整检验分析了矿业投资和工业产值之间的长期均衡关系,即:从长期来看,每增加1％的矿业投资,工业产值可以增加5.4％；同时,通过误差修正模型和脉冲响应分析对矿业投资和工业产值之间的短期作用关系分析,认为短期内矿业投资对工业产值增长的效果不是很明显.