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Studying on the monetary transmission mechanism in China in the presence of structural changes

机译:结构性变迁下的中国货币传导机制研究

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摘要

Purpose-This paper aims to study the monetary transmission mechanism of China from January 1996 to December 2009 under endogenous structural breaks.Design/methodology/approach-The study constructs a benchmark VAR model and then adds the proxy variables for four channels of monetary policy transmission as endogenous or exogenous variables in the model to study the transmission mechanism in China.Considering a number of reforms carried out in the economic and financial field in the past two decades and the possibility of structural changes in the monetary transmission mechanism,the methodology proposed by Qu and Perron is employed to allow for endogenous structural changes in the model.Findings-By conducting a comparative analysis,conclusions can be drawn from this paper that bank lending is always the dominating channel for monetary policy to influence economy in China and the roles of the interest rate channel and the exchange rate channel have been improved in recent years.However,the role of the asset price channel in monetary policy transmission has weakened since late 2001.Originality/value-This paper combines the quasi-maximum likelihood procedure proposed by Qu and Perron in 2007 with a benchmark VAR model,thus providing a new approach to study monetary transmission mechanism and the conclusions can be more sensible.
机译:目的-本文旨在研究内在结构性断裂条件下中国1996年1月至2009年12月的货币传导机制。设计/方法/方法-本研究构建基准VAR模型,然后添加四个货币政策传导渠道的代理变量作为模型中的内生或外生变量来研究中国的传导机制。考虑到过去二十年来在经济和金融领域进行的许多改革以及货币传导机制可能发生结构性变化,该方法提出了结果发现,通过进行比较分析,可以得出结论,银行贷款一直是货币政策影响中国经济的主要渠道,以及货币政策的作用。近年来,利率渠道和汇率渠道得到了改善。自2001年末以来,资产价格通道在货币政策传导中的作用已减弱。原创性/价值-本文将Qu和Perron在2007年提出的准最大似然程序与基准VAR模型相结合,从而提供了一种研究货币的新方法传播机制和结论可能更明智。

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  • 来源
    《中国金融评论(英文版)》 |2011年第4期|334-357|共24页
  • 作者

    Yang Fan; Teng Jianzhou;

  • 作者单位

    School of Economics of Northeast Normal University, Changchun, China;

    School of Economics and the Key Laboratory for Applied Statistics of Northeast Normal University, Changchun, China;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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  • 入库时间 2022-08-19 04:10:56
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