TBO的原因－异常东亚冬季风与ENSO循环的相互作用

摘要

基于对NCEP/NCAR再分析资料以及其他资料(OLR，降水和气温等)的分析研究，结果表明东亚和西北太平洋地区的对流层环流和气候变化都有明显的准两年振荡(TBO)特征。同时，异常东亚冬季风可以影响次年夏季的大气环流和气候变化，特别是在东亚地区；而异常东亚冬季风和ENSO循环间又有明显相互作用：持续的强(弱)东亚冬季风通过海－气相互作用可以激发El Nino(La Nina)，El Nino(La Nina)反过来又可通过遥相关或遥响应而导致东亚冬季风偏弱(强)。强或弱的冬季风和ENSO循环是相互衔接在一起的，因此可以认为异常东亚冬季风与ENSO循环的相互作用是TBO(对流层准两年振荡)的基本原因。%Based on the data analyses by using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and other data (OLR, precipitation and temperature), it is shown that the tropospheric circulation and climate in East Asia and the northwestern Pacific region have the evident quasi-biennial oscillation (TBO) feature. It is also shown that anomalous East Asian winter monsoon can impact the atmospheric circulation and climate variations in the following summer, particularly in East Asian region; there is clear interaction between anomalous East Asian winter monsoon and ENSO cycle. The continuous strong (weak) East Asian winter monsoon can excite El Nino (La Nina) through the air-sea interaction, the El Nino (La Nina) event can lead the East Asian winter monsoon to be weak (strong) through the teleconnections or remote responses. The strong or weak winter monsoon and ENSO cycle are linked each other. It can be suggested that interaction between anomalous East Asian winter monsoon and ENSO cycle is a fundamental origin of the TBO.