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Impacts of Systematic Precipitation Bias on Simulations of Water and Energy Balances in Northwest America

机译:系统性降水偏向对西北美国水和能源平衡模拟的影响

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摘要

At high latitudes and in mountainous areas, evaluation and validation of water and energy flux simulations are greatly affected by systematic precipitation errors. These errors mainly come from topographic effects and undercatch of precipitation gauges. In this study, the Land Dynamics (LaD) land surface model is used to investigate impacts of systematic precipitation bias from topography and wind-blowing on water and energy flux simulation in Northwest America. The results show that topographic and wind adjustment reduced bias of streamflow simulations when compared with observed streamflow at 14 basins. These systematic biases resulted in a -50%-100% bias for runoff simulations, a -20%-20% bias for evapotranspiration,and a -40%-40% bias for sensible heat flux, subject to different locations and adjustments, when compared with the control run. Uncertain gauge adjustment leads to a 25% uncertainty for precipitation, a 20%-100% uncertainty for runoff simulation, a less-than-10% uncertainty for evapotranspiration, and a less-than-20% uncertainty for sensible heat flux.
机译:在高纬度和山区,系统降水误差极大地影响了水和能量通量模拟的评估和验证。这些误差主要来自地形影响和降水量规不足。在这项研究中,土地动力学(LaD)地表模型用于研究西北地区地形和风吹系统降水偏向对水和能量通量模拟的影响。结果表明,与在14个盆地观察到的水流相比,地形和风向调整减小了水流模拟的偏差。这些系统性偏差导致径流模拟的偏差为-50%-100%,蒸发蒸腾的偏差为-20%-20%,感热通量的偏差为-40%-40%。与对照运行相比。不确定的标尺调整导致降水不确定性为25%,径流模拟不确定性为20%-100%,蒸散量不确定性小于10%,显热通量不确定性小于20%。

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