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Paleoclimate Modeling in China: A Review

         

摘要

This paper provides a review of paleoclimate modeling activities in China. Rather than attempt to cover all topics, we have chosen a few climatic intervals and events judged to be particularly informative to the international community. In historical climate simulations, changes in solar radiation and volcanic activity explain most parts of reconstructions over the last millennium prior to the industrial era, while atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations play the most important role in the20 th century warming over China. There is a considerable model–data mismatch in the annual and boreal winter temperature change over China during the mid-Holocene [6000 years before present(ka BP)], while coupled models with an interactive ocean generally perform better than atmospheric models. For the Last Glacial Maximum(21 ka BP), climate models successfully reproduce the surface cooling trend over China but fail to reproduce its magnitude, with a better performance for coupled models. At that time, reconstructed vegetation and western Pacific sea surface temperatures could have significantly affected the East Asian climate, and environmental conditions on the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau were most likely very different to the present day. During the late Marine Isotope Stage 3(30–40 ka BP), orbital forcing and Northern Hemisphere glaciation, as well as vegetation change in China, were likely responsible for East Asian climate change. On the tectonic scale,the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau uplift, the Tethys Sea retreat, and the South China Sea expansion played important roles in the formation of the East Asian monsoon-dominant environment pattern during the late Cenozoic.

著录项

  • 来源
    《大气科学进展:英文版》 |2015年第2期|250-275|共26页
  • 作者单位

    Nansen Zhu International Research Centre;

    Institute of Atmospheric Physics;

    Chinese Academy of Sciences;

    Climate Change Research Center;

    Chinese Academy of Sciences;

    State Key Laboratory of Lake Science and Environment;

    Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology;

    Chinese Academy of Sciences;

    State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather;

    Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences;

    School of Atmospheric Sciences;

    Nanjing University;

    Key Laboratory for Virtual Geographic Environment of Ministry of Education;

    School of Geography Science;

    Nanjing Normal University;

    State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology;

    Institute of Earth Environment;

    Chinese Academy of Sciences;

    Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences;

    School of Physics;

    Peking University;

    State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics;

    Institute of Atmospheric Physics;

    Chinese Academy of Sciences;

    China Meteorological Administration Training Center;

    Key Laboratory of Western China’s Environmental Systems;

    Lanzhou University;

    National Climate Center;

    China Meteorological Administration;

    State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology;

    Beijing Normal University;

  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 chi
  • 中图分类 渤海;环境气象学;
  • 关键词

    气候模型; 中国; 海水表面温度; 展望; 温室气体浓度; 深海氧同位素; 大气模型; 耦合模式;

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