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Dynamic Allocation of Temporal Resources under Uncertainty

机译:不确定性下的时间资源动态分配

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摘要

Temporal resources are defined as human or capital resources with a per-unit-time capacity that can be allocated to different services or products in different periods of time. Examples of temporal resources include machinery, computing power, warehouses, venues, staff, and specialized technology such as a chemical reactor. In this dissertation, I study the problem of dynamically allocating temporal resources to maximize revenue or to minimize costs when the decision-maker is uncertain about the outcome of decisions. I consider two different problems that represent challenges encountered in various industries. In the first chapter, I provide an introduction to the two problems presented in Chapters 2 and 3, discuss the respective motivating industries, and provide examples of broader applications.;The first problem, presented in Chapter 2, is the sales of cloud services to owners of interactive (user-based) applications such as websites and mobile apps. If an application owner purchases the service, the provider hosts the application on the cloud and provides the computing power required to support the application users. Here, the units of resource (hardware capacity) allocated to an application over time is directly determined by the traffic-pattern of the application's users. Considering the resource capacity, the provider dynamically prices services to maximize revenue. I model the provider's pricing problem as a large-scale stochastic dynamic program. I decompose this multi-dimensional stochastic dynamic program into single-dimensional sub-problems by proposing a tractable decomposition procedure. I then extend the proposed framework to define an individualized dynamic pricing mechanism for the cloud provider. To evaluate the performance of the proposed pricing mechanism, I present novel upper bounds on the optimal revenue. The computational results show that the proposed model of selling cloud services achieves significantly greater revenue than the prevalent alternative, and that the presented pricing scheme attains near-optimal revenue.;In the third chapter of my dissertation I analyze a catalyst-activated batch-production process with uncertainty in production times, learning about catalyst-productivity characteristics, and decay of catalyst performance across batches. The challenge is to determine the quality level of batches and to decide when to replenish a catalyst so as to minimize average costs consisting of inventory holding, backlogging, and catalyst switching costs. The temporal resource in this problem is the common reactor shared across batches and multiple products. I formulate this problem as a Semi-Markov Decision Process (SMDP), and use structural properties of the SMDP to define an effective two-level heuristic which is easy to interpret and implement, and to establish a lower bound on the optimal average cost to evaluate the heuristic. Through application to data from a leading food processing company, I show that the proposed methodology, in addition to attaining near-optimal costs, outperforms current practice by an average of 22 % reduction in costs.
机译:时间资源定义为具有单位时间容量的人力或资本资源,可以在不同时间段内将其分配给不同的服务或产品。临时资源的示例包括机械,计算能力,仓库,场所,人员和专用技术(例如化学反应器)。在本文中,我研究了当决策者不确定决策结果时动态分配时间资源以最大化收入或最小化成本的问题。我考虑了两个不同的问题,它们代表了各个行业遇到的挑战。在第一章中,我对第2章和第3章中提出的两个问题进行了介绍,讨论了各自的激励产业,并提供了更广泛的应用示例。第2章中提出的第一个问题是云服务的销售交互式(基于用户)应用程序(例如网站和移动应用程序)的所有者。如果应用程序所有者购买了服务,则提供商将应用程序托管在云上,并提供支持应用程序用户所需的计算能力。在此,随时间分配给应用程序的资源(硬件容量)的单位直接由应用程序用户的流量模式确定。考虑到资源容量,提供商将对服务进行动态定价以最大化收入。我将提供商的定价问题建模为大规模随机动态程序。通过提出可分解的分解过程,我将该多维随机动态程序分解为一维子问题。然后,我扩展提议的框架以为云提供商定义个性化的动态定价机制。为了评估提议的定价机制的性能,我提出了最佳收入的新颖上限。计算结果表明,所提出的销售云服务的模型所获得的收益比普遍的替代方案要大得多,并且所提出的定价方案获得了接近最佳的收益。;在论文的第三章中,我分析了催化剂激活的批量生产生产时间不确定的过程中,了解催化剂的生产率特征以及批次间催化剂性能的下降。面临的挑战是确定批次的质量水平并决定何时补充催化剂,以最大程度地减少包括库存持有,积压和催化剂更换成本在内的平均成本。此问题中的临时资源是批次和多种产品之间共享的通用反应堆。我将这个问题表述为半马尔可夫决策过程(SMDP),并使用SMDP的结构特性来定义有效的两层启发式方法,该方法易于解释和实施,并为最优平均成本确定下限。评估启发式。通过对一家领先的食品加工公司的数据进行的应用,我证明了所提出的方法除了获得接近最佳的成本外,还比目前的实践平均降低了22%的成本。

著录项

  • 作者

    Jahandideh, Hossein.;

  • 作者单位

    University of California, Los Angeles.;

  • 授予单位 University of California, Los Angeles.;
  • 学科 Operations research.;Management.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2018
  • 页码 122 p.
  • 总页数 122
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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