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A study of bootstrap and likelihood based methods in non-standard problems.

机译:对非标准问题中基于自举和似然法的方法的研究。

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摘要

In this dissertation we investigate bootstrap and likelihood based methods for constructing confidence intervals in some non-standard problems. The non-standard problems studied include problems with non root-n convergence (cube root convergence, nlogn -rate of convergence), estimation problems where the parameter is on the boundary and study of non-smooth/abrupt-change models.;We consider estimating a bounded parameter in presence of nuisance parameters and propose methods of constructing confidence intervals for the parameter of interest in some typical examples that arise in high energy physics.;In epidemiological applications interest lies in constructing confidence sets for the distribution function of time to infection/illness with interval censored data. We use a pseudo-likelihood function based on the marginal likelihood of a Poisson process to construct a pseudo-likelihood ratio statistic for testing point null hypotheses for the distribution function and show that the test statistic converges to a pivotal quantity.;A major part of the thesis has been motivated by an astronomy application--estimation of dark matter distribution in dwarf galaxies. An essential component of the application involves estimation and inference on functions that obey shape restrictions, like monotonicity/convexity. We study the performance of bootstrap methods for inference in two non-parametric estimation problems - the estimation of a monotone density and the Wicksell's (1925) problem. Our results show the inconsistency of conventional bootstrap methods in the monotone density estimation problem; in fact, we claim that the bootstrap estimate of the sampling distribution does not have any weak limit conditionally (given the data), in probability. We establish limit distributions of shape restricted estimators and the consistency of bootstrap methods in the Wicksell's problem.;Whether a dwarf spheroidal galaxy is in equilibrium or being tidally disrupted by the Milky Way is an important question for the study of its dark matter content and distribution. We investigate the presence of such a streaming motion focusing our attention to the Leo I galaxy. Statistical tools include isotonic and change-point estimators, asymptotic theory and resampling methods. We find that although there is evidence for streaming, the effect is not alarming.
机译:在本文中,我们研究了在某些非标准问题中基于自举和似然法构造置信区间的方法。研究的非标准问题包括非根-n收敛问题(立方根收敛,nlogn-收敛速率),参数在边界处的估计问题以及非平滑/突变模型的研究。在高能物理中出现的一些典型示例中,在存在干扰参数的情况下估计有界参数并提出构造目标参数的置信区间的方法。在流行病学应用中,重点在于为感染时间的分布函数构造置信集/病与间隔检查的数据。我们使用基于Poisson过程边际似然的伪似然函数构造一个伪似然比统计量,以检验分布函数的点零假设,并证明检验统计量收敛于一个关键量。该论文是受天文学应用的启发-估算矮星系中的暗物质分布。该应用程序的基本组成部分涉及对遵守形状限制(例如单调/凸性)的函数的估计和推断。我们研究了引导法在两个非参数估计问题中的性能-单调密度的估计和Wicksell(1925)问题。我们的结果表明,传统的自举方法在单调密度估计问题中存在不一致之处。实际上,我们声称采样分布的自举估计在条件上(根据数据)没有任何弱限制。我们建立了形状约束估计量的极限分布和Wicksell问题中自举方法的一致性。;矮球状星系是否处于平衡状态或被银河系潮汐扰动是研究其暗物质含量和分布的重要问题。我们调查了这种流式运动的存在,将我们的注意力集中在狮子座I星系上。统计工具包括等渗和变化点估计量,渐近理论和重采样方法。我们发现,尽管有证据表明存在流式传输,但效果并不令人震惊。

著录项

  • 作者

    Sen, Bodhisattva.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Michigan.;

  • 授予单位 University of Michigan.;
  • 学科 Statistics.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2008
  • 页码 165 p.
  • 总页数 165
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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