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The Role of Political Connections in Mitigating Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from Firm-Specific Investment.

机译:政治联系在减轻政策不确定性中的作用:来自企业特定投资的证据。

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摘要

In this study, I test whether firms reduce the information asymmetry stemming from the political process by investing in political connections. I expect that connected firms enjoy differential access to relevant political information, and use this information to mitigate the negative consequences of political uncertainty. I investigate this construct in the context of firm-specific investment, where prior literature has documented a negative relation between investment and uncertainty. Specifically, I regress firm investment levels on the interaction of time-varying political uncertainty and the degree of a firm's political connectedness, controlling for determinants of investment, political participation, general macroeconomic conditions, and firm and time-period fixed effects. Consistent with prior work, I first document that firm-specific investment levels are significantly lower during periods of increased uncertainty, defined as the year leading up to a national election. I then assess the extent that political connections offset the negative effect of political uncertainty. Consistent with my hypothesis, I document the mitigating effect of political connections on the negative relation between investment levels and political uncertainty. These findings are robust to controls for alternative explanations related to the pre-electoral manipulation hypothesis and industry-level political participation. These findings are also robust to alternative specifications designed to address the possibility that time-invariant firm characteristics are driving the observed results. I also examine whether investors consider time-varying political uncertainty and the mitigating effect of political connections when capitalizing current earnings news. I find support that the earnings-response coefficient is lower during periods of increased uncertainty. However, I do not find evidence that investors incorporate the value relevant information in political connections as a mitigating factor.
机译:在这项研究中,我测试了企业是否通过投资于政治联系来减少源自政治进程的信息不对称。我希望关联公司可以有区别地访问相关的政治信息,并使用这些信息来减轻政治不确定性带来的负面影响。我在公司特定投资的背景下研究这种结构,以前的文献已经证明了投资与不确定性之间的负相关关系。具体而言,我根据时变的政治不确定性与企业的政治联系程度之间的相互作用,控制投资的决定因素,政治参与,总体宏观经济状况以及企业和时间周期的固定效应,来回归企业投资水平。与以前的工作一致,我首先证明在不确定性增加的时期(定义为全国大选的前一年),特定于公司的投资水平显着降低。然后,我评估了政治联系抵消了政治不确定性的负面影响的程度。根据我的假设,我记录了政治联系对投资水平与政治不确定性之间的负面关系的缓解作用。这些发现对于控制与选举前操纵假说和行业层面的政治参与有关的替代解释具有鲁棒性。这些发现对于替代规范也很可靠,这些替代规范旨在解决时不变公司特征驱动观察结果的可能性。我还将研究投资者在利用当前的盈利新闻时是否考虑时变的政治不确定性以及政治联系的缓解作用。我发现,在不确定性增加期间,收益响应系数会降低。但是,我找不到证据表明投资者将与价值相关的信息纳入政治联系中来作为缓解因素。

著录项

  • 作者

    Wellman, Laura.;

  • 作者单位

    Arizona State University.;

  • 授予单位 Arizona State University.;
  • 学科 Business Administration Accounting.;Political Science General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2014
  • 页码 86 p.
  • 总页数 86
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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