首页> 外文学位 >Threatening your Own. Electoral Violence within Ethnic Groups in Burundi and Beyond.
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Threatening your Own. Electoral Violence within Ethnic Groups in Burundi and Beyond.

机译:威胁自己。布隆迪及以后各民族内部的选举暴力。

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摘要

In this dissertation I propose and test a theory of intra-ethnic electoral violence. I argue that intimidation and violence can be used by politicians to control the electoral support of coethnics, specifically, by demobilizing coethnic opposition candidates and by coercing the support of coethnic voters. Two other important theoretical pieces flow from this argument: that violence may be used to mobilize participation (as opposed to depress turnout), and that violence escalates with an increase in size and internal political polarization of the coethnic group.;I evaluate this mechanism by analyzing sub-national patterns of violence in Burundi, a country divided between ethnic groups. I first show that the violence preceding the 2010 elections occurred, in contrast, within these groups, as political parties used violence to signal their strength and their ability to protect supporters, punish political defectors, and coerce political opponents within the same ethnic group. In order to identify the precise conditions that drive violence, I built an original dataset with information on violent acts, socioeconomic factors, public services, and parties' armed capabilities, for each municipality in the country. I show that violence spiraled between the largest parties competing for control of the same ethnic group: was greatest when the majority ethnic group was larger and politically polarized.;Since my argument is about employing violence to boost participation, I also test the impact of violence on voting behavior. I code the perception that voting was influenced by intimidation---through a questionnaire to more than two thousand local election monitors in every municipality---then analyze the sub-national electoral results. My analysis shows that intimidation-driven voting and actual turnout rates were associated with more violence, especially in localities where the incumbent relied on strongmen and therefore was perceived to be a powerful coercive actor.;These results are bolstered by extensive interviews with all political sides and non-governmental organizations. To capture the nuances of political messages, I collected and translated recordings of political-party rallies, TV interviews, and campaign songs. I finally demonstrate that my argument possesses external validity by showing that electoral violence in Zimbabwe and Sri Lanka followed the same pattern as in Burundi.
机译:在这篇论文中,我提出并检验了种族内部选举暴力的理论。我认为,政治家可以利用恐吓和暴力手段来控制民族主义者的选举支持,特别是通过遣散民族反对派候选人并强迫民族支持者的支持。这个论点产生了另外两个重要的理论部分:暴力可能被用来动员参与(而不是压低投票率),并且暴力随着种族集团的规模和内部政治两极化的增加而升级。分析布隆迪(一个在族裔之间划分的国家)的地方暴力模式。我首先表明,相比之下,2010年大选之前的暴力事件发生在这些群体中,因为各政党利用暴力来表明自己的力量和能力,以保护同一族裔内的支持者,惩罚政治叛逃者和胁迫政治反对派。为了确定引发暴力的确切条件,我为该国每个城市建立了一个原始数据集,其中包含有关暴力行为,社会经济因素,公共服务和政党的武装能力的信息。我发现暴力在争夺同一种族的控制权的最大政党之间成螺旋形上升:当多数族裔更大且政治两极分化时最大;由于我的论点是利用暴力来促进参与,所以我还测试了暴力的影响关于投票行为。我编写了这样一种看法,即投票受到恐吓的影响(通过对每个城市的2000多名地方选举监督员进行问卷调查),然后分析了地方选举的结果。我的分析表明,以恐吓为基础的投票和实际投票率与更多的暴力行为有关,尤其是在现任者依赖强人的地方,因此被认为是强大的强制演员。这些结果得益于对所有政治方面的广泛采访和非政府组织。为了捕捉政治信息的细微差别,我收集并翻译了政党集会,电视采访和竞选歌曲的录音。最后,我通过证明津巴布韦和斯里兰卡的选举暴力遵循与布隆迪相同的模式,证明了我的论点具有外部有效性。

著录项

  • 作者

    Travaglianti, Manuela.;

  • 作者单位

    New York University.;

  • 授予单位 New York University.;
  • 学科 Political Science General.;Sub Saharan Africa Studies.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2014
  • 页码 340 p.
  • 总页数 340
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:53:39

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