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Depositing credibility: Capital account liberalization, political responsiveness, and foreign currency deposits.

机译:存款信誉:资本账户开放,政治响应能力和外币存款。

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摘要

Official dollarization is rare; yet, many countries' banking systems are characterized by high levels of unofficial dollarization. This dissertation provides a political-economic argument for why governments allow these deposits to exist at all. I explain the timing and level of regulations over resident foreign currency (FC) deposit accounts as well as why some countries that chose partial liberalization tend to remain there and test that explanation on a new dataset I created coding IMF reports on exchange-rate controls.;Similar to other forms of monetary delegation, unrestricted accounts can serve as a commitment device for credible macroeconomic policy, contingent on two factors. Politicians must be responsive to a broad audience; and, they must be credible in their protection of property rights. Thus, unrestricted accounts are most likely when: politicians are responsive to a broad population, have experienced macroeconomic instability, and are respectful of their citizens' property rights.;Responsiveness is important because restricted deposits are unlikely to be useful as a commitment device. When responsiveness is broad group, politicians are more likely to provide public goods rather than targeted, private goods. Allowing FC deposits with restrictions resembles a private good, in that politicians choose which groups are allowed access to the accounts, while unrestricted deposits resemble non-excludeable public goods. Unrestricted deposits should be more likely in those countries where politicians are responsive to a broad population and face incentives to provide public goods.;Second, unofficial dollarization is a strategic situation. If property rights are weak, citizens should anticipate that their deposits would be at risk, making individuals less likely to use FC accounts. Governments should anticipate this as well; if not credible on property rights, they should be more likely to adopt restricted deposits.;I test this argument on a new dataset of regulations of resident FC accounts in a sample of developed and developing countries I coded from the IMF's Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions. I use both binary cross-sectional time-series analysis and a competing risks model. I find support for my central argument, although its effectiveness is limited to periods of moderately levels of macroeconomic instability.
机译:官方美元化很少见;但是,许多国家/地区的银行系统都具有很高的非官方美元化水平。本文为为什么政府允许这些存款根本存在提供了政治经济学的论据。我将解释有关居民外币(FC)存款帐户的法规的时机和水平,以及为什么某些选择部分自由化的国家倾向于留在那里,并在我创建的新数据集上测试该解释,该数据集是我为IMF报告编写的汇率控制报告。 ;与其他形式的货币授权类似,无限制账户可以作为可靠的宏观经济政策的承诺工具,取决于两个因素。政治家必须对广大听众作出回应;并且,他们在保护产权方面必须可信。因此,无限制账户最有可能在以下情况下出现:政治家对广泛的人口做出反应,经历了宏观经济的动荡并尊重其公民的财产权。;响应性很重要,因为限制存款不太可能用作承诺工具。如果反应灵敏,则政治家更有可能提供公共物品,而不是有针对性的私人物品。允许有条件的FC存款类似于私人物品,因为政客选择允许哪些组访问帐户,而无限制的存款则类似于不可排除的公共物品。在那些政治家对广大人口做出反应并面临提供公共物品的激励措施的国家中,无限制的存款应该更有可能。第二,非官方的美元化是一种战略形势。如果财产权薄弱,公民应预料其存款将面临风险,从而使个人使用金融账户的可能性降低。各国政府也应对此有所期待;如果在财产权上不可信,他们应该更有可能采用限制性存款。;我在IMF的《外汇安排年度报告》中所编码的发达国家和发展中国家的样本中,对居民FC帐户的新法规数据库测试了这一论点和交易限制。我同时使用了二进制横截面时间序列分析和竞争风险模型。我发现我的中心论点得到了支持,尽管它的有效性仅限于宏观经济不稳定程度适中的时期。

著录项

  • 作者

    Wurtz, Kelly Philip.;

  • 作者单位

    University of California, San Diego.;

  • 授予单位 University of California, San Diego.;
  • 学科 Economics Finance.;Political Science International Law and Relations.;Political Science General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2009
  • 页码 257 p.
  • 总页数 257
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 财政、金融;政治理论;国际法;
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:37:48

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