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Stochastic optimal control and parameter estimation for an estuary system.

机译:河口系统的随机最优控制和参数估计。

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摘要

The study discussed two major parts which were stochastic optimal control and parameter estimation for an estuary system. The dissertation was divided into three phases. Phase 1 gave the background information on the classical optimal control theory and applied the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman's differential equation, Pontryagin's minimum principle, and the Euler-Lagrange differential equation to reservoir and river management. Phase 2 discussed a real-time lumped-parameter estuary system management model based upon stochastic linear quadratic feedback optimal control and recursive parameter estimation. Phase 3 discussed a real-time distributed-parameter estuary system management model based upon stochastic linear quadratic feedback optimal control and parameter estimation with uncertainty analysis. The estuary management models in Phase 2 and Phase 3 were applied to the Lavaca-Tres Palacios Estuary in Texas.;The feedback control methods provide a feedback mechanism of observed state variables (salinity or other nutrient) to the determination of the real-time control process. It can be used to implicitly reduce various kinds of uncertainties acting on the estuary system. Using the control law, decision makers can determine the optimal freshwater inflows during a month after the salinity and/or other nutrient values have been observed at the beginning of that month. The numerical results show that the optimal monthly inflows from the Lavaca-Navidad River and the Colorado River reasonably respond to different kinds of patterns of the observed salinity values.;The control problem for both the lumped-parameter and distributed-parameter estuary systems was to determine the optimal freshwater inflows into the estuary such that the desirable environmental conditions were reached. The lumped-parameter estuary system considered in this study was related to ARMAX (AutoRegressive, Moving Average, with eXogenous input) model while the distributed-parameter estuary system was the two-dimensional hydrodynamic and salinity transport partial differential equations. The parameter estimation technique for the lumped-parameter system was the recursive least squares. The parameter estimation technique for the distributed parameter system was based on the Gauss-Newton minimization technique in conjunction with the uncertainty analysis methods such as F.O.S.M., Rosenblueth's point-estimate, and Harr's point-estimate. The stochastic real-time optimal control for both lumped and distributed parameter systems was based upon stochastic linear quadratic feedback optimal control. The optimal control law was analytically derived by using dynamic programming's principle of optimality. The distributed-parameter system for control was related to a perturbation model for the two-dimensional HYD-SAL model.
机译:该研究讨论了河口系统的随机最优控制和参数估计两个主要部分。论文分为三个阶段。第一阶段提供了有关经典最优控制理论的背景信息,并将汉密尔顿-雅各比-贝尔曼的微分方程,庞特里亚金的最小原理和欧拉-拉格朗日微分方程应用于水库和河流管理。第2阶段讨论了基于随机线性二次反馈最优控制和递归参数估计的实时集总参数河口系统管理模型。第三阶段讨论了基于随机线性二次反馈最优控制和不确定性参数估计的实时分布参数河口系统管理模型。将第2期和第3期的河口管理模型应用于德克萨斯州的Lavaca-Tres Palacios河口;反馈控制方法为观察到的状态变量(盐度或其他营养素)提供了反馈机制,以决定实时控制处理。它可以用来隐式减少作用于河口系统的各种不确定性。使用控制律,决策者可以确定在一个月初观察到盐度和/或其他营养价值后一个月内的最佳淡水流入量。数值结果表明,拉瓦卡-纳维达德河和科罗拉多河的最佳月流入量合理地响应了不同类型的盐度观测值模式。集中参数和分布式参数河口系统的控制问题是确定进入河口的最佳淡水流入量,以便达到理想的环境条件。本研究中考虑的集总参数入海口系统与ARMAX(自回归,移动平均,带有异质输入)模型有关,而分布参数入海口系统则是二维流体动力和盐分运移偏微分方程。集总参数系统的参数估计技术是递归最小二乘。分布式参数系统的参数估计技术基于高斯-牛顿最小化技术,并结合了不确定性分析方法,例如F.O.S.M.,Rosenblueth的点估计和Harr的点估计。集总和分布式参数系统的随机实时最优控制基于随机线性二次反馈最优控制。利用动态规划的最优原理,分析得出了最优控制律。用于控制的分布式参数系统与二维HYD-SAL模型的摄动模型有关。

著录项

  • 作者

    Zhao, Bing.;

  • 作者单位

    Arizona State University.;

  • 授予单位 Arizona State University.;
  • 学科 Engineering Civil.;Operations Research.;Engineering Mechanical.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1994
  • 页码 423 p.
  • 总页数 423
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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