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Real-time radar rainfall estimation.

机译:实时雷达降雨量估算。

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This research reports on several aspects of real-time monitoring of the spatial and temporal distribution of rainfall from ground-based weather radar. Optimization of the performance of the National Weather Service's Precipitation Processing Subsystem (PPS) is the first objective. This is achieved by developing a calibration procedure which simultaneously estimates the optimal parameter values by providing a global assessment of the system's performance. Evaluation of the system is based on a data set consisting of two months of radar reflectivity measurements, and hourly raingage rainfall accumulations, from the Melbourne, Florida WSR-88D site. Radar-raingage root mean square (RMS) difference reduction up to 20% with respect to the default system parameter values is demonstrated.; Investigation of statistical procedures for real-time adjustment of the mean-field systematic radar rainfall error is the second objective. For this purpose, a data-based Monte Carlo simulation experiment is performed. The study uses an extensive data set of hourly radar rainfall products and raingage accumulations from the Tulsa, Oklahoma WSR-88D site. This intercomparison study concluded to a bias procedure which overall appeared to perform better than the other. The main results from this research are: (1) statistical methods with optimal error model parameters perform significantly better than using only bias observations, and (2) bias adjustment is mostly effective in cold season precipitation measurements.; Final objective of this research is development of a new real-time radar rainfall estimation algorithm. The new processing steps introduced in this algorithm are beam-height effect correction, vertical integration, rain classification, and continuous range effect correction. Additionally, the algorithm applies advection correction at the gridded rainfall rates to minimize the temporal sampling effect, and its calibration is cast in a recursive formulation with parameters adjusted in real-time. A new statistical method has been developed for quantification of radar rainfall products uncertainty. Evaluation of the system and the uncertainty quantification method is based on the data set from Melbourne, Florida WSR-88D site. Radar-raingage RMS difference reduction up to 50% with respect to the default PPS is demonstrated for the proposed algorithm.
机译:这项研究报告了从地面天气雷达实时监测降雨的时空分布的几个方面。第一个目标是优化国家气象局的降水处理子系统(PPS)的性能。这是通过开发一个校准程序来实现的,该程序通过提供系统性能的整体评估来同时估算最佳参数值。该系统的评估基于一个数据集,该数据集包括来自佛罗里达州墨尔本WSR-88D站点的两个月的雷达反射率测量值和每小时的降雨累积量。演示了相对于默认系统参数值,雷达提升均方根(RMS)差异降低了20%。第二个目标是研究用于实时调整平均场系统雷达降雨误差的统计程序。为此,进行了基于数据的蒙特卡洛模拟实验。该研究使用了来自俄克拉荷马州塔尔萨WSR-88D站点的每小时雷达降雨产品和降雨累积的广泛数据集。这项比对研究得出了一个偏见程序,总体看来比其他程序更好。这项研究的主要结果是:(1)具有最佳误差模型参数的统计方法的性能明显优于仅使用偏差观测值;(2)偏差调整在寒冷季节降水测量中最有效。这项研究的最终目标是开发一种新的实时雷达降雨估计算法。该算法中引入的新处理步骤是光束高度影响校正,垂直积分,降雨分类和连续距离影响校正。此外,该算法在栅格化降雨率下应用对流校正,以最大程度地减少时间采样效果,并以递归公式对参数进行校正,并实时调整参数。已经开发出一种新的统计方法来量化雷达降雨产物的不确定性。系统评估和不确定性量化方法基于佛罗里达州墨尔本WSR-88D站点的数据集。相对于默认的PPS,雷达提升RMS差异减少了50%,证明了该算法的有效性。

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