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The Effects of Spatial Aggregation on Spatial Time Series Modeling and Forecasting.

机译:空间聚集对空间时间序列建模和预测的影响。

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摘要

Spatio-temporal data analysis involves modeling a variable observed at different locations over time. A key component of space-time modeling is determining the spatial scale of the data. This dissertation addresses the following three questions: 1) How does spatial aggregation impact the properties of the variable and its model? 2) What spatial scale of the data produces more accurate forecasts of the aggregate variable? 3) What properties lead to the smallest information loss due to spatial aggregation? Answers to these questions involve a thorough examination of two common space-time models: the STARMA and GSTARMA models. These results are helpful to researchers seeking to understand the impact of spatial aggregation on temporal and spatial correlation as well as to modelers interested in determining a spatial scale for the data. Two data examples are included to illustrate the findings, and they concern states' annual labor force totals and monthly burglary counts for police districts in the city of Philadelphia.
机译:时空数据分析涉及对随时间变化在不同位置观察到的变量建模。时空建模的关键组成部分是确定数据的空间规模。本文针对以下三个问题:1)空间聚集如何影响变量及其模型的性质? 2)什么样的数据空间尺度可以更准确地预测总变量? 3)由于空间聚集,哪些属性导致最小的信息损失?这些问题的答案涉及对两个常见时空模型的彻底检查:STARMA和GSTARMA模型。这些结果对寻求了解空间聚集对时间和空间相关性影响的研究人员以及对确定数据的空间尺度感兴趣的建模人员很有帮助。包括两个数据示例以说明发现,它们涉及各州的年度劳动力总数和费城警察局的每月入室盗窃数。

著录项

  • 作者

    Gehman, Andrew J.;

  • 作者单位

    Temple University.;

  • 授予单位 Temple University.;
  • 学科 Statistics.;Geography.;Economics.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2016
  • 页码 153 p.
  • 总页数 153
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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