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Endogenous growth, depreciation rates and technological progress.

机译:内生增长,折旧率和技术进步。

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摘要

Modifying Shell's (1966) model, I analyze the effects of including a scale factor and a decay rate on the accumulation of knowledge equation and on the steady states of an endogenous growth model. I investigate the variability of the capital depreciation rate, which is set up as a function of the technological progress, and describe the effects on the steady state of changes in parameters controlled by policymakers I depict how technological progress affects the capital depreciation rate via obsolescence.; I analyze empirically how the capital depreciation rate implicit on the national accounts of different countries is a variable parameter more than a fixed one, and develop an approximate measurement of it. I discuss how capital depreciation is related to the net-to-gross investment ratio (NGIR), and how both variables are related to the level of industrialization of an economy and to technological progress. I perform this analysis in two steps. First, I use cross-section data to contrast characteristics between industrialized and developing countries, in terms of depreciation, NGIR, and per capita output. Second, I use time-series data of an industrialized country to analyze how technological progress affects and per capita output affects capital depreciation and NGIR.; For the time-series analysis, I estimate technological progress (a Solow residual), and develop an error-correction model to analyze the long-run behavior of the NGIR, the real per capita GDP, and the total factor productivity.; In the cross sectional analysis I find that higher depreciation rates and lower NGIR are associated to higher per capita output. In the time-series analysis I confirm the results from the cross-section analysis, and I find a positive relationship between the stock of knowledge index and the real GDP per capita, and a negative relationship between the stock of knowledge and the NGIR. As conclusion, I present some policy recommendations.
机译:修改Shell(1966)的模型后,我分析了包括比例因子和衰减率在内的知识方程累积和内生增长模型稳态的影响。我研究了资本折旧率的可变性,该可变性是技术进步的函数,并描述了决策者控制的参数变化对稳态的影响。我描述了技术进步如何通过过时影响资本折旧率。 ;我从经验上分析了不同国家国民账户所隐含的资本折旧率如何是可变参数而不是固定参数,并对此进行了近似测度。我将讨论资本贬值如何与净总投资比率(NGIR)相关,以及这两个变量如何与经济产业化水平和技术进步相关。我分两个步骤执行此分析。首先,我使用横截面数据对比了折旧率,NGIR和人均产出方面的工业化国家与发展中国家之间的特征。其次,我使用一个工业化国家的时间序列数据来分析技术进步如何影响人均产出以及人均产出如何影响资本贬值和NGIR。对于时间序列分析,我估计了技术进步(Solow残差),并开发了一个误差校正模型来分析NGIR的长期行为,实际人均GDP和全要素生产率。在横截面分析中,我发现较高的折旧率和较低的NGIR与较高的人均产出有关。在时间序列分析中,我确认了横截面分析的结果,发现知识储备指数与实际人均GDP之间存在正相关关系,而知识储备与NGIR之间则存在负相关关系。最后,我提出一些政策建议。

著录项

  • 作者单位

    The University of Connecticut.;

  • 授予单位 The University of Connecticut.;
  • 学科 Economics General.; Economics Theory.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2001
  • 页码 108 p.
  • 总页数 108
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 经济学;经济学;
  • 关键词

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