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The international structure of income and its implications for economic growth, 1960--2000.

机译:国际收入结构及其对经济增长的影响,1960--2000年。

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摘要

World-systems theory in sociology posits that individuals around the world fall into one of two broad income levels corresponding to their positions (core or peripheral) in global commodity chains. Countries, however, fall into three broad national income levels, according to whether they encompass mainly peripheral nodes of commodity chains, core nodes, or a mixture of the two. In Book I of this dissertation, I confirm this general theoretical outline of the structure of the world-economy, using a gaussian kernel to smooth histograms of the global income distribution for individuals (Chapter 1) and countries (Chapter 2). Globally, individual incomes are distributed bimodally while national incomes are distributed trimodally. These distributions have held relatively stable over the past forty years.; In Book II of this dissertation, I use the results of Book I to differentiate models of economic growth by zone of the world-economy. In Chapter 3, I use ordinary and weighted least square regression to estimate a standard neoclassical disequilibrium growth model, first for all countries and then by zone of the world-economy. I find that the proportion of working-age adults in a country is a far more important predictor of economic growth than either investment or education flows. In Chapter 4, I use a series of structural equation models, estimated through reiterative maximum likelihood, to disentangle the reciprocal effects of investment (foreign and domestic) on growth and vice versa. I find that while growth seems to promote investment, investment has little or no causal impact on growth.; The general conclusion to be drawn from the present research is that the stable (and highly unequal) structure of income in the world-economy has not been and likely will not be mitigated by investment flows from richer to poorer countries.
机译:社会学中的世界系统理论认为,世界各地的人们属于与其在全球商品链中的地位(核心或外围)相对应的两个广泛收入水平之一。但是,根据它们是主要涵盖商品链的外围节点,核心节点还是两者的混合物,各国可分为三大国民收入水平。在本论文的第一本书中,我使用高斯核对个人(第1章)和国家(第2章)的全球收入分布的直方图进行平滑处理,从而确认了世界经济结构的一般理论提纲。在全球范围内,个人收入是双峰分配的,而国民收入是三峰分配的。在过去的40年中,这些分布相对稳定。在本文的第二本书中,我使用第一本书的结果按世界经济区域来区分经济增长模型。在第3章中,我使用普通和加权最小二乘回归来估算标准的新古典不平衡增长模型,首先是对所有国家/地区,然后是世界经济区域。我发现,与投资或教育流动相比,一个国家的劳动年龄成年人比例是经济增长的重要指标。在第4章中,我使用了一系列的结构方程模型,这些模型通过反复最大似然估计来消除投资(外国和国内)对增长的相互影响,反之亦然。我发现,虽然增长似乎可以促进投资,但投资对增长几乎没有或没有因果关系。从本研究中得出的一般结论是,世界经济中收入的稳定(高度不平等)结构尚未得到,而且很可能不会因富国向穷国的投资流动而减轻。

著录项

  • 作者

    Babones, Salvatore Jason.;

  • 作者单位

    The Johns Hopkins University.;

  • 授予单位 The Johns Hopkins University.;
  • 学科 Sociology Social Structure and Development.; Economics General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2003
  • 页码 395 p.
  • 总页数 395
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 社会结构和社会关系;经济学;
  • 关键词

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