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Essays on industrial organization of U.S. dairy markets.

机译:关于美国乳制品市场产业组织的论文。

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摘要

This dissertation is composed of three empirical essays that involve rigorous analyses of important economic questions with implications to welfare, public policy and marketing. In particular, these essays contribute to the existing literature by further illuminating our economic understanding of generic dairy promotion programs, dairy co-cooperatives' conduct and food manufacturing firms' marketing strategy of reducing product package size.;In the first essay we estimate a dairy demand system to evaluate generic dairy advertising in the U.S. from 1990 to 2005. Previous empirical studies of generic dairy advertising focus only on the market of the advertised good, ignoring potential spillover and feedback effects. We specify an LA/AIDS model of dairy demand, which allows consistent estimation of cross-price and cross-advertising effects across dairy product markets, and is flexible and satisfies the axioms of consumer theory. We use the non-linear 3SLS estimator to address endogenous prices and serial correlation, and conduct bootstrapping to generate empirical distributions of elasticity estimates. Results suggest that cross-market effects are economically and statistically important. Thus, econometric dairy demand models that ignore cross-advertising and cross-price effects are misspecified. Previous work that ignores substitution between fluid milk and cheese overstates producers' returns to generic advertising for either product.;In the second essay we adopt a structural econometric model of the vertical relationship in U.S. dairy markets to identify pricing behavior in the supply chain for fluid milk. The model consists of a system of equations that allows estimation of oligopoly power of dairy co-operatives and downstream firms, exploiting Federal Milk Marketing Order regulations to identify co-operatives' marginal cost. We take a Bayesian approach to estimate the model. The estimation framework incorporates inequality constraints on model parameters based on economic theory. A key finding is that co-operatives use their market power to raise the farm price of milk by almost 9% above marginal cost, resulting in an income transfer of more than ;In the third essay we estimate a random utility model of demand to measure consumer response to manufacturers' package downsizing. We perform the analysis using Nielsen Homescan data on bulk ice cream purchases of a panel of households in Chicago, between 1998 and 2007. We adapt a Bayesian approach for estimation. The estimation framework involves modeling household heterogeneity, addressing price endogeneity and dealing with unbalanced choice alternatives. The main finding is that consumers are sensitive to package size changes, but on average the demand elasticity with respect to package size is approximately one-fourth of the demand elasticity with respect to price. This finding suggests that consumers are less sensitive to changes in package size than to changes in price. This result implies that manufacturers can use downsizing as a hidden price increase in order to pass through increases in production costs, i.e. cost of raw materials, and maintain, or increase, their profit margins.
机译:本文由三篇实证论文组成,涉及对重要经济问题的严格分析,对福利,公共政策和市场营销产生影响。特别是,这些文章通过进一步阐明我们对仿制乳品推广计划,乳品合作社的行为以及食品制造公司减少产品包装尺寸的营销策略的经济理解,为现有文献做出了贡献;在第一篇文章中,我们估计了乳制品需求系统来评估1990年至2005年美国的通用乳制品广告。以往的通用乳制品广告实证研究仅关注所标明的商品市场,而忽略了潜在的溢出效应和反馈效应。我们指定了一种乳品需求的LA / AIDS模型,该模型可以对乳制品市场之间的交叉价格和交叉广告效果进行一致的估算,并且具有灵活性并满足消费者理论的公理。我们使用非线性3SLS估计器解决内生价格和序列相关性,并进行自举以生成弹性估计的经验分布。结果表明,跨市场影响在经济和统计上都很重要。因此,忽略了交叉广告和交叉价格效应的计量经济学乳制品需求模型是错误的。先前的工作忽略了液态奶和奶酪之间的替代,夸大了生产商对这两种产品的通用广告的回报。在第二篇文章中,我们采用了美国乳品市场垂直关系的结构计量经济学模型,以识别液态奶供应链中的定价行为。牛奶。该模型由一个方程式系统组成,该方程式允许估计乳制品合作社和下游公司的寡头垄断能力,并利用联邦牛奶销售订单法规来确定合作社的边际成本。我们采用贝叶斯方法来估计模型。估计框架根据经济理论将不平等约束纳入模型参数中。一个重要发现是,合作社利用市场力量将牛奶的农场价格提高了约9%,超过边际成本,从而导致收入转移超过;在第三篇文章中,我们估计了需求的随机效用模型消费者对制造商包装缩小的反应。我们使用Nielsen Homescan数据对1998年至2007年之间在芝加哥的一组家庭购买的大量冰淇淋进行了分析。我们采用贝叶斯方法进行估算。估算框架包括对家庭异质性进行建模,解决价格内生性以及处理不平衡的选择方案。主要发现是,消费者对包装尺寸的变化很敏感,但平均而言,相对于包装尺寸的需求弹性大约是相对于价格的需求弹性的四分之一。这一发现表明,消费者对包装尺寸的变化不如对价格变化敏感。该结果意味着制造商可以将尺寸缩小作为一种隐性的价格上涨,以通过生产成本(即原材料成本)的增加,并维持或增加其利润率。

著录项

  • 作者

    Cakir, Metin.;

  • 作者单位

    Purdue University.;

  • 授予单位 Purdue University.;
  • 学科 Business Administration Marketing.;Economics Agricultural.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2011
  • 页码 143 p.
  • 总页数 143
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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