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Spatio temporal hierarchical Bayesian methods and other issues in disease mapping.

机译:时空时空贝叶斯方法和疾病映射中的其他问题。

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摘要

In recent decades, disease mapping has drawn much attention worldwide. Due to the availability of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, fully Bayesian analysis of complex multistage data has been increasingly popular in the analysis of geographically and temporally referenced data. This dissertation aims to implement hierarchical Bayesian methods to address some issues in disease mapping.;In the Chapters 3 and 4, we analyze spatially referenced longitudinal data of a disease in a multivariate setting. We develop a serially correlated generalized multivariate conditional autoregressive model (SCGMCAR) with different propriety parameters for each time period. We show that introducing different propriety parameters provides a better fit. In addition, we also examine the effect of adjacent areal units in the estimation of the disease rates.;The effect of modeling the expected counts on small area disease mortality or incidence maps is examined in Chapter 5. A common approach in epidemiological studies is to map standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) at various levels of geographic units or socio-demographic subpopulations. Often, SMRs are calculated based on internally or externally standardized reference rates. Such reference rates, however, do not take into account the spatial correlation induced from the geographic proximity of nearby units and the variation in the rates across the units. Instead, we use model-based expected counts. We find that using model-based estimates of the expected counts produce improved disease maps compared to using reference rate-based expected counts.
机译:在最近的几十年中,疾病图谱已经引起了全世界的广泛关注。由于马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)算法的可用性,复杂的多阶段数据的完全贝叶斯分析在地理和时间参考数据的分析中越来越受欢迎。本文旨在实现分层贝叶斯方法,以解决疾病映射中的一些问题。在第3章和第4章中,我们分析了在多变量环境中空间参考的疾病纵向数据。我们针对每个时间段开发了具有不同专有参数的序列相关广义多元条件自回归模型(SCGMCAR)。我们表明引入不同的适当性参数可以提供更好的拟合度。此外,我们还检查了邻近区域单位在疾病发病率估计中的作用。;在第5章中研究了对小区域疾病死亡率或发病率图进行预期计数建模的影响。流行病学研究中的一种常见方法是在不同级别的地理单位或社会人口子人群中绘制标准化死亡率(SMR)。通常,SMR是根据内部或外部标准化参考汇率来计算的。然而,这样的参考速率没有考虑到由附近单元的地理邻近性引起的空间相关性以及跨单元的速率的变化。相反,我们使用基于模型的预期计数。我们发现,与使用基于参考率的预期计数相比,使用基于模型的预期计数估计会产生更好的疾病图。

著录项

  • 作者

    Pathak, Manoj.;

  • 作者单位

    The University of Nebraska - Lincoln.;

  • 授予单位 The University of Nebraska - Lincoln.;
  • 学科 Biology Biostatistics.;Statistics.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2011
  • 页码 181 p.
  • 总页数 181
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:44:45

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