首页> 外文学位 >Stochastic Modeling Techniques for Offshore Geohazards.
【24h】

Stochastic Modeling Techniques for Offshore Geohazards.

机译:海上地质灾害的随机建模技术。

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例

摘要

Much remains to be known about offshore phenomena, despite the potential threat they pose to coastal communities and economically-important offshore infrastructure. The scientific and engineering community has a fairly good grasp of the mechanics governing these geohazards; for instance, we can model tsunami run-ups over entire oceans, evaluate the stability of slopes, and predict the runout of a given landslide. Much of the uncertainty arising in applications of such models stems from the sparsity and error in offshore data. Such datasets are often sparse because the ocean is so large, and contain values with potentially significant measurement error because of the complexities involved in collecting data in such extreme conditions (e.g., sampling sediment under miles of water). Stochastic techniques and statistics quantify these types of uncertainty. In the first chapter of this dissertation, I apply a stochastic optimization method to a geophysical model to achieve estimates of sub-seabed gas concentrations from remotely-sourced seismic reflection data. In the second chapter, I combine geostatistics and first-order, second-moment uncertainty analysis to map the probability of slope failure along the entire U.S. Atlantic margin. My third and final chapter statistically characterizes offshore wind speeds using an unprecedented amount of data collected over the northwestern hemisphere.
机译:尽管海上现象对沿海社区和经济上重要的海上基础设施构成了潜在威胁,但人们对海上现象仍知之甚少。科学和工程界对治理这些地质灾害的机制掌握得相当好。例如,我们可以模拟整个海洋的海啸上升,评估斜坡的稳定性,并预测给定滑坡的跳动。这种模型的应用中产生的许多不确定性源于海上数据的稀疏性和误差。这样的数据集通常是稀疏的,因为海洋是如此之大,并且由于在这种极端条件下(例如在数英里的水面下采样沉积物)收集数据涉及的复杂性,因此包含的数据可能具有重大的测量误差。随机技术和统计数据可量化这些类型的不确定性。在本文的第一章中,我将一种随机优化方法应用于地球物理模型,以从远程地震反射数据中获得海底天然气浓度的估算值。在第二章中,我将地统计学和一阶,第二阶不确定性分析相结合,以绘制整个美国大西洋边缘的边坡破坏概率。我的第三章也是最后一章使用在西北半球收集到的前所未有的数据来统计海上风速的特征。

著录项

  • 作者

    Morgan, Eugene C.;

  • 作者单位

    Tufts University.;

  • 授予单位 Tufts University.;
  • 学科 Geophysics.;Engineering Civil.;Engineering Geophysical.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2011
  • 页码 118 p.
  • 总页数 118
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号