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Essays on energy economics: Microeconomic and macroeconomic dimensions.

机译:能源经济学论文:微观经济学和宏观经济学的方面。

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摘要

The 2000's rise in oil prices has reignited the interest of economists about the influence of these swings on both specific good markets and macroeconomic fluctuations. In the macroeconomic arena, the attention of policymakers and economists has been posed the effects of oil price swings on the economic domestic cycle. In this work, we explore a question under scrutiny among economists and policymakers: the use of fiscal policy as an instrument to accommodate the domestic fluctuations caused by oil price shocks. In particular, we study a floating oil-tax rate used as an instrument to reduce the pass-through of the international price of oil into the domestic economy. We develop two works in this topic. The first paper study a small open economy calibrated to Chile with perfect foresight and finite horizon. This model is applied to two types of policy: a Ramsey problem and an ad-hoc stabilization rule. For both cases, we find that the social planner finds optimal to reduce the pass-through of oil price shocks into the domestic economy. Also, we compute the welfare gains and losses that arise from both types of policy compared to a competitive equilibrium economy where the government plays a passive role. The second paper recasts the model developed in the first study. The salient features of the new model are: uncertainty; infinite horizon; the model is calibrated to two representative economies: developed and developing countries; and the optimal taxation policy is analyzed considering both complete and incomplete markets for the bonds issued by the government. We find significative differences in how the optimal oil-tax rate responds whether the economy is calibrated to a developed country or a developing economy, or if public debt is traded in complete or incomplete markets.;In the microeconomic field, we study the ethanol market. Aukayanagul and Miranowski (2009) show that the price of ethanol closely follows the price of oil. Given the sharp rise of oil and ethanol prices in the last years a question has been under scrutiny in the ethanol market: When is profitable to invest in an ethanol plant? In the third paper, we develop a model using the real options approach to answer this question. We incorporate the market structure of the ethanol industry to our model, in which entry and exit of new firms affect the ethanol gross margin (price of ethanol plus co-product value minus purchases of corn). The solution of the model gives threshold values of the ethanol gross margin that indicate when is optimal to both invest in an ethanol plant and to exit the market for an active firm.
机译:2000年的油价上涨重新激发了经济学家对这些波动对特定的良好市场和宏观经济波动的影响的兴趣。在宏观经济领域,决策者和经济学家的注意力已经引起了油价波动对经济国内周期的影响。在这项工作中,我们探索了经济学家和政策制定者正在仔细研究的一个问题:将财政政策作为一种工具来适应因油价震荡而引起的国内波动。尤其是,我们研究了浮动石油税率,以此作为减少国际石油价格进入国内经济的手​​段。我们在这个主题上开发了两部作品。第一篇论文研究了一种以智利为标准的小型开放经济,该经济具有良好的远见和有限的视野。该模型适用于两种类型的策略:Ramsey问题和临时稳定规则。对于这两种情况,我们都发现社会计划者可以找到最佳方法来减少石油价格冲击对国内经济的影响。此外,与竞争性均衡经济(政府在其中发挥被动作用)相比,我们计算两种政策产生的福利损益。第二篇论文重铸了第一篇研究中开发的模型。新模型的显着特征是:不确定性;无限的视野该模型已针对两个代表性经济体进行了校准:发达国家和发展中国家;并从政府发行债券的完全市场和不完全市场两个方面对最优税收政策进行了分析。无论是将经济调整为发达国家还是发展中经济体,或者公共债务在完整或不完整的市场中交易,我们在最佳石油税率的反应方式上都存在显着差异。在微观经济领域,我们研究了乙醇市场。 Aukayanagul和Miranowski(2009)表明,乙醇的价格紧随石油价格。鉴于过去几年石油和乙醇价格的急剧上涨,在乙醇市场上一直在研究一个问题:何时投资乙醇工厂可带来利润?在第三篇论文中,我们使用实物期权方法开发了一个模型来回答这个问题。我们将乙醇行业的市场结构纳入我们的模型,在该模型中,新公司的进入和退出会影响乙醇的毛利率(乙醇的价格加上副产品价格减去玉米的购买量)。该模型的解决方案给出了乙醇毛利率的阈值,该阈值指示何时投资乙醇工厂和退出活跃企业的最佳时机。

著录项

  • 作者

    Andrian, Leandro Gaston.;

  • 作者单位

    Iowa State University.;

  • 授予单位 Iowa State University.;
  • 学科 Economics Agricultural.;Economics Theory.;Economics Finance.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2010
  • 页码 130 p.
  • 总页数 130
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:37:17

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