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Market outperformance by nonparametric, simugram-based portfolio selection.

机译:通过基于Simugram的非参数投资组合选择,市场表现出色。

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摘要

A new portfolio selection system is presented which weights components in a target major market index such that the resulting portfolio consistently outperforms the underlying market index by most any multi-period return measure. This is accomplished by use of the simugram, which gives a simulation-based distribution of outcomes of a stochastic experiment. This distribution is time- or space indexed and presents the whole distribution instead of a few moments. When applied to financial engineering problems, it provides a time-indexed risk profile of positions, which is applied as the objective function in the non-linear optimization of portfolio weights. This technique is in contrast to the mean-variance selection model, which seeks to minimize portfolio variance subject to a target return. The simugram-based selection system maximizes portfolio return subject to a non-linear risk tolerance parameter based on the simugram risk profile of all possible portfolio outcomes. For the SP-100 stock index portfolio in the 33-year study period, using multi-period return measures of annualized return and terminal value, the simugram annualized return is on the order of 3 times that of the market benchmark. And for every
机译:提出了一种新的投资组合选择系统,该系统对目标主要市场指数中的成分进行加权,以使所产生的投资组合在大多数任何多期收益率指标上均始终优于基础市场指数。这是通过使用Simugram完成的,该Simugram提供了基于模拟的随机实验结果分布。该分布是按时间或空间索引的,并显示了整个分布,而不是几分钟。当将其应用于金融工程问题时,它提供了时间索引的头寸风险概况,在投资组合权重的非线性优化中用作目标函数。该技术与均方差选择模型相反,均方差选择模型力求使目标收益率最小的投资组合方差最小。基于Simugram的选择系统基于所有可能的投资组合结果的Simugram风险特征,在非线性风险容限参数的约束下最大化投资组合收益。对于33年研究期中的SP-100股指组合,使用年化回报率和终值的多期回报率度量,Simugram的年化回报率约为市场基准的3倍。而对于每个

著录项

  • 作者

    Dobelman, John August.;

  • 作者单位

    Rice University.;

  • 授予单位 Rice University.;
  • 学科 Statistics.;Economics Finance.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2004
  • 页码 169 p.
  • 总页数 169
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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