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Essays on Econometric Methodology and Application.

机译:计量经济学方法论和应用论文。

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摘要

This dissertation is composed of three chapters on estimation of vehicle choice and utilization models, simulated likelihood estimation, and Bayesian non-parametric additive methods for neighborhood effect models. The first chapter exploits differences in fuel efficiency between hybrid vehicles and their gasoline counterparts to investigate two behavioral questions relating to fuel economy standards: how car buyers value fuel economy (the energy paradox) and whether improved fuel efficiency increases travel (the rebound effect). Emphasis is placed on handling methodological and data issues that are typically ignored in prior studies, such as partially observed choice, endogeneity, and measurement error. Estimates of the rebound effect and consumer valuation of fuel economy remain imprecise despite the use of the most detailed household level data available and sound methodology to handle limitations with these data. The inability to precisely estimate these important policy questions suggests it is a worthwhile endeavor to obtain reliable, detailed data on household vehicles.;The following chapter (joint with Ivan Jeliazkov) presents techniques, based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) theory, for construction of the likelihood function in a broad class of hierarchical models where direct evaluation of the likelihood function is not possible. We review existing estimators, introduce new MCMC estimators, and examine their performance in applications to the Poisson-log normal and mixed logit models. The MCMC techniques outperform existing methods in both settings, with the existing methods performing especially poorly in the Poisson-log normal case.;The final chapter applies Bayesian semiparametric additive methods to a neighborhood effects model. The baseline model assumes all covariates enter linearly, whereas the approach in this paper allows for flexible functional forms. An efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm that exploits the properties of banded matrices is proposed for estimation. The efficiency gains offered by the banded matrix algorithm are critical, as they permit the estimation of applications with large sample sizes. The model and estimation methodology are used to examine foreclosure contagion in California. The results reveal the impact of neighborhood effects on foreclosure rates as nonlinear, where the relationship resembles a tipping point phenomenon.
机译:本文由三章组成,分别是车辆选择和利用模型的估计,模拟似然估计和邻域效应模型的贝叶斯非参数加法。第一章利用混合动力汽车与其汽油同类产品之间在燃油效率方面的差异来研究与燃油经济性标准有关的两个行为问题:购车者如何看待燃油经济性(能源悖论)以及提高的燃油效率是否会增加出行(反弹效应)。重点放在处理以前在研究中通常忽略的方法和数据问题,例如部分观察到的选择,内生性和测量误差。尽管使用了最详细的家庭数据和合理的方法来处理这些数据的局限性,但对反弹效果和消费者对燃油经济性的估计仍不准确。无法精确估计这些重要的政策问题表明,这是获取可靠,详细的家用车辆数据的一项值得努力的工作。下一章(与Ivan Jeliazkov一起)介绍了基于马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)理论的技术,在不可能直接评估似然函数的广泛层次模型中构造似然函数。我们审查了现有的估计量,引入了新的MCMC估计量,并检查了它们在泊松对数正态和混合logit模型的应用中的性能。在这两种情况下,MCMC技术的性能均优于现有方法,在Poisson-log正常情况下,现有方法的效果特别差。;最后一章将贝叶斯半参数加法应用到邻域效应模型中。基线模型假定所有协变量线性输入,而本文中的方法则允许使用灵活的函数形式。提出了一种有效的马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛(MCMC)算法,该算法利用带状矩阵的属性进行估计。带状矩阵算法提供的效率增益至关重要,因为它们可以估计大样本量的应用。该模型和估计方法用于检查加利福尼亚的止赎传染。结果揭示了邻域效应对抵押品赎回权率的影响是非线性的,其关系类似于临界点现象。

著录项

  • 作者

    Lloro, Alicia Alejandra.;

  • 作者单位

    University of California, Irvine.;

  • 授予单位 University of California, Irvine.;
  • 学科 Economics General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2013
  • 页码 82 p.
  • 总页数 82
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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