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Essays on economic *development: Demography, taxation, and capital accumulation.

机译:经济发展论文:人口,税收和资本积累。

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摘要

The first essay in this thesis quantitatively investigates the extent to which demography can explain the large differences in cross-country savings rates. Fertility and adult survival rates are incorporated into an overlapping generations model. High fertility rates increase the expenditure burden of children and lower savings, while high adult survival rates induce individuals to discount the future less heavily and consequently encourage savings. The two demographic factors can explain up to 68% of the dispersion in the cross-country savings rates. Furthermore, if the expenditure burden is sufficiently low, adult survival rates have a greater impact on cross-country savings rates differences than fertility rates do. Conversely, if the expenditure burden is sufficiently high, fertility rates have a greater impact. The model developed is also satisfactory in explaining the large gap in savings rates between the richest and the poorest countries.;The second essay demonstrates that tax reform affects the growth rate non-negligibly, which is different from the well-established evidence from the US data. To examine the effects of tax reform on growth rate and human capital accumulation, I use the standard endogenous growth model along the lines of Lucas (1990) and introduce privately financed education into the model to capture the notion that education is costly. Using parameters calibrated to match the features of the Indonesian economy, reducing the capital income tax rate to zero can increase the growth rate by 8 to 14 percent. While private spending on education changes considerably in response to changes in both tax rate and public spending on education, learning time remains relatively constant. Results also show that the growth effects of changes in public spending on education are stronger than those of taxation. A further investigation using the Malaysian and Japanese data produces almost similar results as those obtained using the Indonesian data.
机译:本文的第一篇论文定量研究了人口统计学可以解释跨国储蓄率差异的程度。将生育率和成年存活率纳入了重叠的世代模型中。高生育率增加了儿童的支出负担,降低了储蓄,而高成人生存率则使个人对未来的贬值程度降低了,因此鼓励了储蓄。这两个人口统计学因素可以解释跨国储蓄率差异的68%。此外,如果支出负担足够低,则成年存活率对跨国储蓄率差异的影响要大于生育率。相反,如果支出负担足够高,则生育率的影响更大。建立的模型在解释最富裕国家和最贫穷国家之间的巨大储蓄率方面也令人满意。;第二篇文章表明,税制改革对经济增长率的影响不可忽略,这与美国公认的证据不同。数据。为了检验税制改革对增长率和人力资本积累的影响,我沿卢卡斯(1990)的方法使用标准的内生增长模型,并将私人资助的教育引入模型中,以体现教育成本高昂的观念。使用经过校准以匹配印尼经济特征的参数,将资本所得税税率降低到零可以使增长率提高8%至14%。虽然私人教育支出随着税率和公共教育支出的变化而发生很大变化,但学习时间仍然相对恒定。结果还表明,公共支出变化对教育的增长作用要强于税收。使用马来西亚和日本数据进行的进一步调查得出的结果与使用印尼数据获得的结果几乎相似。

著录项

  • 作者

    Tobing, Elwin.;

  • 作者单位

    The University of Iowa.;

  • 授予单位 The University of Iowa.;
  • 学科 Economics General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2006
  • 页码 64 p.
  • 总页数 64
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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