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Evaluating infrastructure performance to assist facility management toward sustainable systems.

机译:评估基础架构性能,以帮助设施管理朝着可持续系统发展。

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摘要

Civil infrastructure provides essential services for the development of both society and economy. It is very important to manage systems efficiently to ensure sound performance. However, there are challenges in information extraction from available data, which also necessitates the establishment of methodologies and frameworks to assist stakeholders in the decision making process. This research proposes methodologies to evaluate systems performance by maximizing the use of available information, in an effort to build and maintain sustainable systems. Under the guidance of problem formulation from a holistic view proposed by Mukherjee and Muga, this research specifically investigates problem solving methods that measure and analyze metrics to support decision making.;Failures are inevitable in system management. A methodology is developed to describe arrival pattern of failures in order to assist engineers in failure rescues and budget prioritization especially when funding is limited. It reveals that blockage arrivals are not totally random. Smaller meaningful subsets show good random behavior. Additional overtime failure rate is analyzed by applying existing reliability models and non-parametric approaches. A scheme is further proposed to depict rates over the lifetime of a given facility system. Further analysis of sub-data sets is also performed with the discussion of context reduction.;Infrastructure condition is another important indicator of systems performance. The challenges in predicting facility condition are the transition probability estimates and model sensitivity analysis. Methods are proposed to estimate transition probabilities by investigating long term behavior of the model and the relationship between transition rates and probabilities. To integrate heterogeneities, model sensitivity is performed for the application of non-homogeneous Markov chains model. Scenarios are investigated by assuming transition probabilities follow a Weibull regressed function and fall within an interval estimate. For each scenario, multiple cases are simulated using a Monte Carlo simulation. Results show that variations on the outputs are sensitive to the probability regression. While for the interval estimate, outputs have similar variations to the inputs.;Life cycle cost analysis and life cycle assessment of a sewer system are performed comparing three different pipe types, which are reinforced concrete pipe (RCP) and non-reinforced concrete pipe (NRCP), and vitrified clay pipe (VCP). Life cycle cost analysis is performed for material extraction, construction and rehabilitation phases. In the rehabilitation phase, Markov chains model is applied in the support of rehabilitation strategy. In the life cycle assessment, the Economic Input-Output Life Cycle Assessment (EIO-LCA) tools are used in estimating environmental emissions for all three phases. Emissions are then compared quantitatively among alternatives to support decision making.
机译:民用基础设施为社会和经济发展提供必要的服务。有效管理系统以确保声音性能非常重要。但是,从可用数据中提取信息存在挑战,这也需要建立方法和框架来协助利益相关者进行决策。这项研究提出了通过最大化利用可用信息来评估系统性能的方法,以努力建立和维护可持续系统。在Mukherjee和Muga提出的从整体角度出发提出问题的指导下,本研究专门研究了测量和分析指标以支持决策的问题解决方法。在系统管理中不可避免地会出现故障。开发了一种描述故障到达模式的方法,以帮助工程师进行故障救援和预算优先级分配,尤其是在资金有限的情况下。它表明阻塞到达并不是完全随机的。较小的有意义子集显示良好的随机行为。通过应用现有的可靠性模型和非参数方法,可以分析额外的超时故障率。还提出了一种方案来描述给定设施系统的整个生命周期的费率。在讨论上下文约简的同时,还对子数据集进行了进一步的分析。基础设施状况是系统性能的另一个重要指标。预测设施状况的挑战是过渡概率估计和模型敏感性分析。提出了通过研究模型的长期行为以及过渡率与概率之间的关系来估计过渡概率的方法。为了整合异质性,执行模型敏感性以应用非齐次马尔可夫链模型。通过假设转移概率遵循Weibull回归函数并落在区间估计内来研究场景。对于每种情况,使用蒙特卡洛模拟来模拟多种情况。结果表明,输出的变化对概率回归很敏感。对于间隔估计,输出与输入具有相似的变化。;对污水系统的生命周期成本分析和生命周期评估进行了比较,比较了三种不同的管道类型,即钢筋混凝土管(RCP)和非钢筋混凝土管( NRCP)和玻璃化粘土管(VCP)。在材料提取,建造和修复阶段执行生命周期成本分析。在康复阶段,将马尔可夫链模型应用于康复策略的支持。在生命周期评估中,经济投入产出生命周期评估(EIO-LCA)工具用于估算所有三个阶段的环境排放。然后对替代方案中的排放量进行定量比较以支持决策。

著录项

  • 作者

    Jin, Yongliang.;

  • 作者单位

    Michigan Technological University.;

  • 授予单位 Michigan Technological University.;
  • 学科 Engineering Civil.;Engineering System Science.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2013
  • 页码 180 p.
  • 总页数 180
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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