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Probabilistic inference with large discrete domains.

机译:大离散域的概率推断。

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摘要

The straightforward representation of many real world problems is in terms of discrete random variables with large or infinite domains. For example, in a domain where we are trying to identify a person, we may have variables that have as domains, a set of all names, a set of all postal codes, and a set of all credit card numbers. The task usually reduces to performing probabilistic inference, i.e., compute the probability of some values of some random variables given the values of some other variables. Bayesian networks are a compact way to represent joint probability distributions. This thesis is concerned with probabilistic inference in Bayesian networks that have discrete random variables with large or infinite domains.; Carrying out inference in Bayesian networks that have variables with large domains is a difficult problem. For efficient inference, we consider cases where there is some structure that can be exploited to make inference efficient. In this thesis we consider two kinds of structures that can be exploited for efficient inference. These structures allow us to partition the large number of values in equivalence classes. Rather than reasoning about every value of a variable individually, we can reason about a set of values in a single step.; We first consider the case where there are intensional definitions of the conditional probability distributions. To represent these conditional probabilities, we introduce a CPD language that allows us to define the conditional probabilities procedurally, in terms of predicates and functions. We present an inference algorithm, Large Domain VE , for the CPD language that uses this representation to partitions the domains of the variables dynamically. The partitions depend on what is observed and what is queried. We apply Large Domain VE to the person identification problem that has variables with large domains.; The second case we consider where there is a priori internal structure on the values of the variables. In particular, we consider the case where the values of the variables are represented as tree hierarchies. We call such variables hierarchically structured variables. We present a language for representing the conditional probabilities of Bayesian networks with hierarchically structured variables. To perform inference in Bayesian networks with hierarchically structured variables we construct an abstract Bayesian network dynamically, given some evidence and a query, by collapsing the hierarchies to include only those values necessary to answer the query. We can answer the query from the abstract Bayesian network using any standard inference algorithm.; Finally, we show how both intensional definitions of the conditional probability distributions and hierarchically structured values can be put together to produce a general framework that can be applied to a more general class of problems.
机译:许多现实世界问题的直接表示是具有大或无限域的离散随机变量。例如,在我们试图识别一个人的域中,我们可能有一些变量以域,一组所有名称,一组所有邮政编码和一组所有信用卡号作为域。任务通常简化为执行概率推断,即在给定某些其他变量的值的情况下,计算某些随机变量的某些值的概率。贝叶斯网络是表示联合概率分布的一种紧凑方式。本文涉及贝叶斯网络中具有大或无限域离散随机变量的概率推断。在具有大域变量的贝叶斯网络中进行推理是一个难题。为了进行有效的推理,我们考虑了可以利用某些结构来提高推理效率的情况。在本文中,我们考虑了可用于有效推理的两种结构。这些结构使我们可以将大量值划分为等效类。除了单独推理变量的每个值外,我们还可以一步一步地推理一组值。我们首先考虑存在条件概率分布的内涵定义的情况。为了表示这些条件概率,我们引入了CPD语言,该语言允许我们根据谓词和函数按程序定义条件概率。我们为CPD语言提供了一种推理算法,即大域VE,它使用这种表示来动态划分变量的域。分区取决于观察到的内容和查询的内容。我们将大域VE应用于具有大域变量的人员识别问题。第二种情况我们考虑在变量值上存在先验内部结构的情况。特别是,我们考虑将变量的值表示为树层次结构的情况。我们称此类变量为分层结构变量。我们提出了一种语言,用于表示具有分层结构变量的贝叶斯网络的条件概率。为了在具有分层结构变量的贝叶斯网络中进行推理,我们通过折叠层次结构以仅包含回答查询所需的那些值,在给定证据和查询的情况下,动态构建抽象贝叶斯网络。我们可以使用任何标准推理算法来回答来自抽象贝叶斯网络的查询。最后,我们展示了如何将条件概率分布的内涵定义和层次结构化的值放在一起,以产生可应用于更一般问题类别的通用框架。

著录项

  • 作者

    Sharma, Rita.;

  • 作者单位

    The University of British Columbia (Canada).;

  • 授予单位 The University of British Columbia (Canada).;
  • 学科 Computer Science.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2006
  • 页码 200 p.
  • 总页数 200
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 自动化技术、计算机技术 ;
  • 关键词

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