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Water supply system management design and optimization under uncertainty.

机译:不确定条件下的供水系统管理设计与优化。

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摘要

A water supply system collects, treats, stores, and distributes water among water sources and consumers. Increasing population, diminishing supplies and variable climatic conditions can cause difficulties in meeting water demands; especially in arid and semiarid regions where water resources are limited. Given the system complexity and the interactions among users and supplies, a large-scale water supply management model can be useful for decision makers to plan water management strategies to cope with future water demand changes. When this long range water supply plan is developed, accuracy and reliability are the two most important factors. To develop an accurate model, as much information as possible on the system has to be considered. As a result, the water supply system has become more complicated and comprehensive structures. Stochastic search techniques thus have evolved to find the most accurate solution for the future water supply plan. Future uncertainty also has been considered to improve system reliability as well as economic feasibility. This suite of tools can be also useful in deriving consensus among competing water needs for proposed long-term water supply plans.; In this study, a general large-scale water supply system that is comprised of modular components including water sources, users, recharge facilities, and water and wastewater treatment plants was developed in a dynamic simulation environment that helps users easily understand the model structure. The model was applied to a realistic hypothetical system and simulated several possible 20-year planning scenarios. In addition to water balances and water quality analyses, construction and operation and maintenance of system components costs were estimated for each scenario. One set of results demonstrates that construction of small-cluster decentralized wastewater treatment systems could be more economical than a centralized plant when communities are spatially scattered or located in steep areas where pumping costs may be prohibitive.; The Shuffled Frog Leaping Algorithm (SFLA), then, was used to minimize the total system cost of the general water supply system. Sizing decisions of system components' capacities---pipe diameter, pump design capacity and head, canal capacity, and water and wastewater treatment capabilities---are decision variables with flow allocations over the water supply network to meet water demands. An explicit representation of energy consumption cost for the operation of satellite wastewater treatment facilities was incorporated into the system in the optimization process of overall system cost. Although the study water supply systems included highly nonlinear terms in the objective function and constraints and several hundred decisions variables, a stochastic search algorithm was applied successfully to find optimal solutions that satisfied all the constraints for the study networks.; An accurate water supply plan is achieved. However, the system reliability is not assured. A robust optimization approach, hence, was introduced into the design process of a water supply system as a framework to consider uncertainties of the correlated future data by applying a new robust optimization approach. The approach allows for the control of the degree of conservatism which is a crucial factor for the system reliabilities and economical feasibilities. The system stability is guaranteed under the most uncertain condition. It was found that the water supply system with uncertainty can be a useful tool to assist decision makers to develop future water supply schemes.
机译:供水系统在水源和消费者之间收集,处理,存储和分配水。人口增加,供应减少和气候条件变化会给满足用水需求带来困难;特别是在水资源有限的干旱和半干旱地区。考虑到系统的复杂性以及用户和供水之间的相互作用,大规模的供水管理模型对于决策者计划水管理策略以应对未来的用水需求变化可能是有用的。在制定此远程供水计划时,准确性和可靠性是两个最重要的因素。为了开发准确的模型,必须考虑系统上尽可能多的信息。结果,供水系统变得更加复杂和全面。因此,随机搜索技术得到了发展,可以为未来的供水计划找到最准确的解决方案。还考虑了未来的不确定性,以提高系统的可靠性以及经济可行性。这套工具还有助于在拟议的长期供水计划中相互竞争的用水需求之间达成共识。在这项研究中,在动态模拟环境中开发了一个通用的大型供水系统,该系统由模块化组件组成,包括水源,用户,补给设施以及水和废水处理厂,可帮助用户轻松理解模型结构。该模型已应用于现实的假设系统,并模拟了几种可能的20年计划方案。除了水平衡和水质分析外,还针对每种情况估算了系统组件的建造,运行和维护成本。一组结果表明,当社区空间分散或位于可能禁止抽水成本的陡峭地区时,小集群分散式废水处理系统的建设可能比集中式工厂更经济。然后,使用洗牌蛙跳算法(SFLA)来最大程度地减少一般供水系统的总系统成本。系统组件容量(管道直径,泵设计容量和扬程,水渠容量以及水和废水处理能力)的规模决策是决策变量,在供水网络上分配流量以满足水的需求。在总体系统成本的优化过程中,将卫星污水处理设施运行的能耗成本的明确表示形式并入了系统。尽管研究供水系统在目标函数和约束条件以及几百个决策变量中包括了高度非线性的项,但是成功地采用了随机搜索算法来找到满足研究网络所有约束条件的最优解。实现了准确的供水计划。但是,不能保证系统的可靠性。因此,将鲁棒优化方法引入到供水系统的设计过程中,该框架作为框架,通过应用新的鲁棒优化方法来考虑相关未来数据的不确定性。该方法允许控制保守程度,这是系统可靠性和经济可行性的关键因素。在最不确定的条件下保证系统的稳定性。人们发现,不确定性的供水系统可以成为帮助决策者制定未来供水计划的有用工具。

著录项

  • 作者

    Chung, Gunhui.;

  • 作者单位

    The University of Arizona.;

  • 授予单位 The University of Arizona.;
  • 学科 Engineering Civil.; Engineering Sanitary and Municipal.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2007
  • 页码 242 p.
  • 总页数 242
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 建筑科学;建筑科学;
  • 关键词

  • 入库时间 2022-08-17 11:40:09

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