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Global Supply Chain Risk Management through Operational and Financial Hedges.

机译:通过运营和财务对冲进行全球供应链风险管理。

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摘要

This thesis comprises two papers that investigate the impact of operational and/or financial hedging on risk management in a global supply chain environment. The problems are derived from the current climate in which many North American firms are heavily contracting overseas suppliers located in China, India, Vietnam and other countries. The theoretical and numerical results obtained in this thesis provide managerial insights to mitigate demand and exchange rate risks in outsourcing in the event that firms are risk averse.;The second paper expands on the first paper by including financial hedging strategy. It studies a capacity planning problem in which a risk-averse firm plans to reserve capacities with potential suppliers located in multiple countries to hedge demand and exchange rate risks. It provides both analytical and numerical results from a general model with n suppliers, as well as a special case with two suppliers in China and Vietnam. With financial hedging, the risk-averse firm has access to financial markets so that it is able to adjust capacity and production allocation decisions conditional on financial information, the result of which always increases optimal utility. In general, the effect of financial hedging increases with a firm's risk aversion or when there is positive correlation between exchange rates. Operational hedging becomes more useful when the firm is risk-neutral or when there is negative correlation between exchange rates. Finally, the second paper concludes that financial hedging can be used as a substitute for operational hedging. With financial hedging, the risk-averse firm tends to decrease its capacity proportion in China due to its substitution effect.;The first paper studies operational hedging strategy for firms that face both exchange rate and demand uncertainties. Operational hedging comes in the form of real option to switch production between domestic suppliers and offshore outsourcing suppliers. It demonstrates that these firms benefit from maintaining capacities with both suppliers. The value of the operational option increases as the exchange rate uncertainty or demand uncertainty increases. In addition, when firms become risk-averse, they may use domestic capacity as a hedge against offshore capacity. As a result, the firms may choose to sustain local capacity even if it exhibits negative marginal contribution to the profit. Furthermore, risk-averse firms may retain more total capacity than risk-neutral firms.
机译:本论文包括两篇论文,研究了全球供应链环境中运营和/或财务套期保值对风险管理的影响。这些问题源于当前的环境,在这种环境下,许多北美公司与位于中国,印度,越南和其他国家的海外供应商大量签约。本文所获得的理论和数值结果为企业在规避风险的情况下减轻外包中的需求和汇率风险提供了管理上的见识。第二篇论文在第一篇论文的基础上进行了扩展,引入了金融对冲策略。它研究了一个容量规划问题,其中一个规避风险的公司计划与位于多个国家/地区的潜在供应商保留容量,以对冲需求和汇率风险。它提供了具有n个供应商的通用模型以及来自中国和越南的两个供应商的特殊情况的分析和数值结果。通过金融对冲,规避风险的公司可以进入金融市场,从而能够根据财务信息调整产能和生产分配决策,其结果始终可以提高最佳效用。通常,随着公司的风险规避或汇率之间存在正相关关系,金融套期保值的效果会增强。当公司不受风险影响或汇率之间存在负相关关系时,操作对冲将变得更加有用。最后,第二篇论文得出的结论是,金融对冲可以代替运营对冲。通过金融套期保值,规避风险的公司由于其替代效应而趋向于降低其在中国的产能比重。;第一篇论文研究了面对汇率和需求不确定性的公司的经营套期保值策略。运营对冲以实物期权的形式出现,可以在国内供应商和离岸外包供应商之间转换生产。它表明,这些公司受益于与两家供应商保持能力。操作选择权的价值随着汇率不确定性或需求不确定性的增加而增加。此外,当企业规避风险时,他们可能会利用国内产能作为对冲海外产能的对冲。结果,即使对利润显示出负的边际贡献,企业也可能选择维持本地产能。此外,规避风险的公司可能比中立风险的公司保留更多的总产能。

著录项

  • 作者

    Wang, Letian.;

  • 作者单位

    McGill University (Canada).;

  • 授予单位 McGill University (Canada).;
  • 学科 Business Administration Management.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2010
  • 页码 143 p.
  • 总页数 143
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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