Market Effect Analysis on Indonesia`s Coffee Bean Export

摘要

Rianatullah Dede. This research is about Indonesia export coffee aims to analyse on influence and effect of Indonesian coffee bean export under the tittle Market Effect Analysis on Indonesia`s Coffee Bean Export　　Coffee produced in Indonesia is a commodity that has enormous potential to compete in foreign markets, especially Europe, America and Asia. This potential can bring in foreign exchange for Indonesia. Based on this, it is necessary to look at how the potential and development of Indonesia's coffee export demand to various European, American and Asian countries. Because of the demand for Indonesian coffee exports to various countries in Europe, America and Asiacan be influenced by many factors, then it will also be seen how the influence of factors such as world coffee prices, exchange rates, real GDP, and domestic coffee prices of destination countries on Indonesian coffee exports.　　The data used in this study used secondary data in the form of panel data analysis methods, it is a combination of Time Series and Cross Section. Time series data using data is data in 2003-2017. Then the Cross Section data using is data from five Indonesian coffee export destination countries. In this study, data on the volume of coffee exports, data on the real GDP of the destination country, the exchange rate of the rupiah against the destination country of exports, international coffee prices, and domestic coffee prices of destination countries. While the analysis used is econometric analysis using the panel data method. This data processing is using Eviews 9.0 software. This study aims to determine the factors that influence Indonesian coffee exports. The data used in this study are secondary data obtained from several agencies such as the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) Website, Bank of Indonesia (BI), World Bank, Plantation Office, and International Coffee Organization (ICO).　　The panel data regression estimation model used in the study is Random Effect Model for the dependent variable volume of Indonesian coffee exports, independent variables they are real GDP, exchange rates, international coffee prices, and domestic coffee prices. Therefore, it can be concluded that real GDP, exchange rates, international coffee prices, and domestic coffee prices are better to explain the volume of Indonesian coffee exports in five destination countries.

目录

声明

Foreword

Chapter Ⅰ Preliminary

1.1 Research Background and Issues

1.1.1 Research Background

1.1.2 Issues Raised

1.2 Research Content and Systematic of Research

1.2.1 Research Content

1.2.2 Systematics of Writing

1.3 Research Significance and Innovation Point

1.3.1 Research Significance

1.3.2 Innovation Point

Chapter Ⅱ Study of Literature and Theory Basic

2.1 Literature and Theory

2.1.1 Literature Review

2.1.2 Previous Research

2.2 Theoretical Foundation

2.2.1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

2.2.2 International Economic Policy Theory

2.2.3 Law Theory of Demand

2.2.4 Export Theory

2.2.5 Theory of Exchange Rate (Exchange Rate)

2.2.6 Purchasing Power Parity Theory (PPP)

2.3 Research Hypothesis

Chapter Ⅲ Research Method

3.1. Types And Data Collection

3.2. Research Variable

3.3. Analysis Method

3.3.1 Commond Effect Model

3.3.2 Fixed Effect Model

3.3.3 Random Effect Model

3.4 Determination of the Estimation Method

3.4.1 Chow Test

3.4.2 Hausman Test

3.5 Test Statistics

Chapter Ⅳ Results and Analysis

4.1 Description of Research Data

4.1.1 Data Description of Indonesian Coffee Export Volume (Y)

4.1.2 Description of Real GDP Data (X1)

4.1.3 Description of data on IDR Exchange (X2) 4.3 Graph of IDR Exchange Rate

4.1.4 Data Description of International Coffee Prices (X3)

4.1.5 Data Description of Domestic Coffee Prices

4.2 Results of Panel Data Estimates

4.2.1 Model Selection

4.2.2 Hypothesis Test

4.3 Data Interpretation

Chapter Ⅴ Conclusions and Implications

5.1 Conclusions

5.2 Implications

参考文献

Attachment

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