文摘
英文文摘
声明
Chapter 1 Introduction
Chapter 2 Time Series Method for HIV/AIDS Model
2.1 Some Definitions and Theories
2.2 Models for reported AIDS cases of Russian Federation
2.2.1 The test for stationarity
2.2.2 Model Identification
2.2.3 The estimation for time series model
2.2.4 Model Testing
2.3 Models for reported HIV/AIDS cases of China
2.3.1 New report for AIDS estimates in China
2.3.2 Time series model for China
Chapter 3 Dynamics models for HIV/AIDS Model
3.1 Fundamental model without any intervention
3.1.1 Selection of critical country in terms of HIV/AIDS
3.1.2 Fundamental model
3.2 The Impact ofAntiretroviral (ARV) drug therapy
3.2.1 Brief introduction to Grey model
3.2.2 Modeling ARV drug therapy
3.3 The Impact of preventative vaccine
3.3.1 Assumption
3.3.2 Modeling the preventative vaccine
3.4 ARV drug therapy and vaccine impact simultaneously
3.5 Conclusion
Chapter 4 Comparison between models and Suggestions
References
Acknowledgements