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坦桑尼亚达勒斯萨拉姆市的快速公交系统的可持续发展研究

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目录

ABSTRACT

摘要

1 Introduction

1.1 Research background

1.1.1 General background of population growth and urbanization

1.1.2 Urban sprawl

1.1.3 Sustainability and sustainable public transport

1.1.4 Structural principle for sustainability

1.1.5 Background and justification of the research

1.1.6 Problem statement

1.2 Objective of the study and research question

1.2.1 Objective of the study

1.2.2 Research question

1.3 Conceptual framework

1.4 Research design and structure

1.5 Expected out comes and merits of the research

2 Literature Review

2.1 The overview of sustainable public transport systems

2.2 Overview of the Bus Rapid Transit system

2.2.1 Concept and introduction of Bus Rapid Transit system

2.3 Other cities' experience of sustainable Bus Rapid Transit system

2.3.1 The Bus Raid Transit system in Curitiba-Brazil

2.3.2 The case of transmilenio the BRT system in Bogota-Colombia

2.3.3 Lesson from Curitiba,Bogota

2.4 Description of public transportation demand in Dar es Salaam city

2.4.1 Present policy,regulations

2.4.2 Development frame work,integrated approach and economic growth of the city

2.4.3 A brief history of public transport in Dar es Salaam city

2.4.4 Overview of current public transport in Dar es Salaam

2.4.5 Challenges and potential qualities in planning for sustainability transit

2.4.6 Justification of urban transportation improvement

2.5 The Bus Rapid Transit in Dar es S alaam-DART system

2.5.1 The Dar es Salaam Rapid Transit Agency

2.5.2 Dar es Salaam Rapid Transit system

2.5.3 Dar es Salaam Rapid Transit system project risk

2.5.4 Critical success factors

2.6 The choice and preference[utility]model used in relative research

2.6.1 Travel choice behavior

2.6.2 Consumer's choice behavior

2.6.3 Stated preference analysis

2.6.4 Random utility models

3 Research Methodology

3.1 Physical characteristics of the study area

3.2 Research strategy and design

3.3 Pre field work stage

3.3.1 Survey method selection

3.3.2 Setting up experiment design

3.3.3 Field survey design

3.4 Field work stage

3.4.1 Survey implementation

3.4.2 Data entry and verification

3.4.3 Collection of secondary data

3.5 Post field work stage

3.5.1 Data preparation

3.5.2 Data analysis and interpretation

4 State Choice Analysis and Brt Assessment Based on Commuters' Preference

4.1 Characteristics of the sample size population

4.1.1 Social economic and demographic characteristics

4.1.2 Travel characteristics

4.2 State choice modeling

4.2.1 Model input variables

4.2.2 Defining the basic utility model expression

4.2.3 Estimation of utility model and result

4.3 Analysis of Bus Rapid Transit system based on passengers' preferences

4.3.1 Spatial analysis of Bus Rapid Transit using utility based accessibility

4.4 Concluding Remarks

5 The Preference Analysis of Bus Passenger and Car User By Binary Choice Model

5.1 Bus passenger opinion survey

5.1.1 Survey locations

5.1.2 Survey hours

5.1.3 Survey days

5.1.4 Sampling

5.1.5 Survey forms

5.1.6 Survey performance

5.1.7 Survey result

5.2 Bus passengers' binary choice model

5.2.1 Trip information

5.2.2 Awareness on bus services

5.2.3 Preference to BRT/Dala Dala

5.2.4 Binary choice model

5.2.5 Model estimation

5.3 Car user opinion survey

5.3.1 Survey location

5.3.2 Survey hours

5.3.3 Survey days

5.3.4 Sampling

5.3.5 Survey method

5.3.6 Survey forms

5.3.7 Survey performance

5.3.8 Survey result

5.4 Car user's binary choice model

5.4.1 Trip information

5.4.2 Awareness of buses

5.4.3 Preference to BRT/Car

5.4.4 Binary choice model

6 Conclusion and Recommendations

Further Research

References

Publications

Acknowledgments

Appendices

中文摘要

展开▼

摘要

交通运输系统是一个不断发展的系统,在城市地区促进和维持这样一个系统是一个及其复杂的事情,它需要创新研究和行动能动性。可持续性与其他战略政策组成了许多组合,它们不但影响了平常的业务进行而且影响了城市生活的实际转换。这篇论文突出了达累斯萨拉姆城市人口增长和城市化、移动性、施加的挑战和解决这些挑战的首创方法。但是,我们必须注意到城市化和国际化之间的影响越来越紧密,它们通过不断增加的人流、物流、资本服务流以及技术流把国家、城市以及人民紧密地联系在一起。而且为了促进人们和想法之间的流动并加强它们彼此之间的互相影响,国家和城市之间的界限正在快速消失。这篇文章讨论了在达累斯萨拉姆城市实行快速公交的可持续性。
  在达累斯萨拉姆城市实行快速公交系统主要是为所有的组织机构改进并提供一个优质的、可得到的、能够负担得起的大众公共交通服务。这篇文章探讨了乘客对提议的快速公交系统的看法和偏爱程度并且基于他们的社会经济条件和空间位置的差异比较了他们对快速公交偏好的差异。通过使用基于空间分析的声明选择方法和GIS技术,本研究在以下几个方面达到的预期的目标:(i)确定了提议的快速公交系统的属性及其空间覆盖范围;(ii)探讨了乘客对快速公交系统属性的看法以及偏爱程度;(iii)采用二元选择模型评估了基于乘客看法以及巴士乘客和汽车用户偏好分析的快速公交系统。根据本研究的观察和发现,得到了在达累斯萨拉姆城市发展快速公交的结论以及相应的建议。

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