THE ROBUSTNESS OF TORNADO HAZARD ESTIMATES

摘要

Over the past half-century, there have been many changes, both in number of tornadoes reported and in the characteristics of their tracks. Even with the changes, when these data are used to estimate the local tornado hazard, the results are surprisingly robust. This gives us confidence in using this type of analysis as an aid in assessing relative risk from point-to-point and as an aid in determining reasonable design standards. Acknowledgements: We would like to express our appreciation to Ms. Linda Crank, who handled the increasingly important "desktop publishing" aspects of preparing conference preprint papers. Her skills and good humor while we fought computer problems and deadlines were invaluable. Also, this paper could not have been prepared without Mr. Douglas Rhue, whose ability as a computer engineer allowed him to apply "band-aids" to a computer that twice ate its operating system while the text and figures in this talk were finalized.