A Model for Security Evaluation of a Port Storage Area Against Theft in a Container Line Supply Chain

摘要

Security analysis is very important in Container Line Supply Chain (CLSC) operation as CLSC is a dominant way to transport cargo worldwide and at the same time it is also subject to many threats. In this paper, an evidence based approach for security evaluation of a port storage area against theft in CLSC is proposed. The approach includes evaluation criteria in a hierarchical structure, belief structures to facilitate evidence based evaluation information management, and a belief Rule-base Inference Methodology using the Evidential Reasoning (RIMER) algorithm. The approach is capable of rationally dealing with different types of uncertainty in the security evaluation process. Both the criteria hierarchy and the application of RIMER are validated through a real world case study.