Automation in the 1950's sparked predictions of massive unemployment, and similar gloomy forecasts have been voiced many times since then. Although "Detroit automation" (transfer lines) did increase productivity and contribute to a decline in manufacturing employment, expansion of job opportunities in the service and information sectors more than compensated for that loss. Moreover, the rapid diffusion of computer applications has been accompanied by the creation of new kinds of jobs.
rnWith the advent of microelectronics and, more recently, intelligent systems in the marketplace, the specter of unemployment looms large once again. However, many observers are reluctant to predict widespread unemployment for fear of emulating the little boy who cried wolf.
1950年代的自动化引发了对大规模失业的预测,自那以后,人们多次表达了类似的悲观预期。尽管“底特律自动化”(传输线)确实提高了生产率并导致了制造业就业人数的减少,但服务和信息部门就业机会的扩大可以弥补这一损失。此外,计算机应用的迅速普及伴随着新工作的创造。 P> rn
随着微电子技术的出现,以及最近市场上智能系统的出现,失业的幽灵隐约可见。再来一次。但是,由于担心效仿哭泣的小男孩,许多观察者不愿预测失业率会普遍升高。 P>
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