Utilization of Predictive Mathematical Epidemiological Modeling in Crisis Preparedness Exercises

摘要

By providing useful measures of the outcome of an influenza pandemic, the utilization of predictive mathematical models can be an extremely valuable tool within crisis preparedness exercises. We discuss our experiences with developing and implementing such a simulation model for use within a regional crisis preparedness exercise, and make recommendations for maximizing the utility of predictive mathematical epidemiological models in general for future exercises.