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Estimation of Historic PM2.5 Concentrations Using the PM2.5-PM10 Ratio in Mexico City and Metropolitan Area

机译:墨西哥城和大都市地区PM2.5 PM10比率估计历史性PM2.5浓度

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The Air Quality Monitoring System is the main source of particulate matter data in the Mexico City (MC) and Metropolitan Area (MA). The monitoring system's gradual development has produced variable coverage data throughout space and time, making difficult to use it for epidemiological studies. The WHO suggests to use the PM2.5-PM10 ratio (PMR) for PM2.5 estimation when only PM10 data is available. The aim was to estimate PM2.5 concentrations in the MC and MA using the PMR for 2003 to 2016, in order to increase space-time coverage data for epidemiological studies. The monitoring stations (MS) that measured simultaneously PM2.5 and PM10 were identified year by year. For each, the hourly PMR were estimated. Then, monthly and annual hourly PMR average were obtained. The hourly PM2.5 missing values in this MS were imputed by dividing the PM10 hourly data available between the annual hourly PMR average. In the MS that measured only PM10, PM2.5 monthly data was imputed using the monthly PMR average considering the location of the MS. The PM2.5 annual averages for each MS, for MC and MA were estimated. Pearson's correlation analysis and statistical significance tests were carried out between imputed and measured data. Procedures were done using R 3.4.1. and Stata 14. Higher annual hourly PMR average was observed in MC than in MA (54 vs 50%, p <0.000), and similar to the PMR suggested by the WHO (50%). PM2.5 was estimated for 101 MS which measured PM10 only, and for 5 MS which measured both. High concordance was observed between hourly data measured vs estimated for MS located in MC (R2=0.83) and in MA (R2=0.73). Most PM2.5 annual averages were no statistically different (data imputed included vs only measured data). Our results show that the PMR is an adequate method to robustly estimate space-time PM2.5 when only PM10 data is available. This study establishes a precedent for other urban areas where monitoring systems are growing and information of PM2.5 might not be available.
机译:空气质量监测系统是墨西哥城(MC)和大都市区(MA)的微粒物质数据的主要来源。监测系统的逐步发展在整个空间和时间内产生了可变的覆盖率数据,使其难以使用它进行流行病学研究。当仅提供PM10数据时,谁建议使用PM2.5-PM10比率(PMR)进行PM2.5估计。目的是利用2003年至2016年的PMR估算MC和MP2.5浓度,以增加流行病学研究的时空覆盖数据。同时测量PM2.5和PM10的监测站(MS)逐年确定。对于每个,估计每小时PMR。然后,获得每月和每小时的PMR平均值。每小时PM2.5在此MS中缺少值,通过将PM10小时数据划分为年度每小时PMR平均值。在仅测量PM10的MS中,使用每月PMR平均值的PM2.5每月数据考虑MS的位置。估计每毫秒的PM2.5每年的年平均值,用于MC和MA。 Pearson之间的相关性分析和统计显着性测试在估算和测量数据之间进行。使用R 3.4.1完成程序。和Stata 14.在MC中观察到更高的年度每小时PMR平均值,而不是MA(54 vs 50%,P <0.000),并且类似于世卫组织(50%)所示的PMR。 PM2.5估计为101ms,仅测量PM10,并为5毫秒测量。在每小时数据之间观察到高一致性,测量位于MC(R2 = 0.83)和MA(R2 = 0.73)的MS估计的VS。大多数PM2.5年平均值没有统计学不同(避扣数据只有测量数据)。我们的结果表明,当只有PM10数据可用时,PMR是强大地估计空间时间PM2.5的方法。本研究为监测系统越来越多的其他城市地区建立了先例,并且可能无法提供PM2.5的信息。

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