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Laying the Foundations of Deep Long-Term Crowd Flow Prediction

机译:铺设深度长期人群流动预测的基础

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Predicting the crowd behavior in complex environments is a key requirement for crowd and disaster management, architectural design, and urban planning. Given a crowd's immediate state, current approaches must be successively repeated over multiple time-steps for long-term predictions, leading to compute expensive and error-prone results. However, most applications require the ability to accurately predict hundreds of possible simulation outcomes (e.g., under different environment and crowd situations) at real-time rates, for which these approaches are prohibitively expensive. We propose the first deep framework to instantly predict the long-term flow of crowds in arbitrarily large, realistic environments. Central to our approach are a novel representation CAGE, which efficiently encodes crowd scenarios into compact, fixed-size representations that loss-lessly represent the environment, and a modified SegNet architecture for instant long-term crowd flow prediction. We conduct comprehensive experiments on novel synthetic and real datasets. Our results indicate that our approach is able to capture the essence of real crowd movement over very long time periods, while generalizing to never-before-seen environments and crowd contexts.
机译:预测复杂环境中的人群行为是人群和灾害管理,建筑设计和城市规划的关键要求。鉴于人群的直接状态,必须在多个时间步骤中连续重复当前方法,以便长期预测,导致计算昂贵且出错的结果。然而,大多数应用需要能够在实时速率下准确地预测数百种可能的仿真结果(例如,在不同的环境和人群情况下),这些方法这些方法非常昂贵。我们提出了第一框架,即立即预测任意大型现实环境中的人群的长期流动。我们的方法中的核心是一种新颖的表示笼,它有效地将人群情景编码成紧凑,固定大小的表示,损失环境,以及用于即时长期人群流量预测的修改的SEGNET架构。我们对新型合成和真实数据集进行了全面的实验。我们的结果表明,我们的方法能够在很长的时间内捕捉真正的人群运动的本质,同时推广到从未见过的环境和人群环境。

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