Develop Trip Generation Model for Alexandria City - Egypt

摘要

This paper tends to introduce a trip generation model for Alexandria city-Egypt. This model can be implemented in the transportation planning process of the city since the city suffers from harsh transportation and travel problems. The model relates daily exchanged numbers (Q and Z) of trips at different Transportation Analysis Zone (TAZs) to its socio-economic data. Analysis of socio-economic and demographic data of different TAZs has been performed. Zonal data has been involved in Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) technique. Investigate attributes affect each of trip generation and trip attraction, the significant level of individual socio-economic variables for Q and Z has been statistically evaluated. Statistical indicators have been used to assess and verify the performance of the developed trip generation models. The model shows good performance since the models introduced acceptable CR values of 0.55 for Q model and higher value of 0.72 for Z model, NMSE 0.39 and 0.11 for Q and Z models respectively, and MG of 0.73 and 0.85 respectively.