EXPLORATORY SPATIAL DATA ANALYSIS OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC DISPARITIES IN BEIJING DURING 2001-2007

摘要

The unbalanced development of regional economics in Beijing has induced the ubiquitous regional economic disparities and may affect the sustainable development of economy and social stability. How to alleviate this unbalanced status has been an important issue which the society and government face. As usual, the hold of Olympics Games may boost the economy of host city, however it is not clear that the event could narrow the regional economic disparities. In order to investigate the influence of the 2008 Olympics Games for the development of regional economics in Beijing, this paper studies the space-time dynamics of economic development of Beijing since the year when Beijing won the bid (the year of 2001) using exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA), and based on the county level and measure index of the regional per capita gross domestic product (GDP). The results show not strong evidences of global spatial autocorrelation, but clear evidences of local spatial autocorrelation and spatial heterogeneity in the distribution of regional per capita GDP. Driven by the bid winning of 2008 Olympics, the total economic disparity in Beijing had not been alleviated, and the situation got even more complicated. Since the economic increasing-speeds of Changping and Shijingshan Districts were significantly lower than their some neighbouring regions, a new centre-surrounding polarization scheme was gradually replacing the North-South polarization scheme in Beijing from 2001 to 2007.