Development of a spatial load-forecasting module for optimizing planning of electricity supply

摘要

In today's economy, there is a strong need to forecast and predict future load demands in order to estimate the amount of load required and to properly prepare the planning purposes. This paper presents the development of a module with the ability to calculate the spatial load forecasting in any area of study. First, the electrical distribution system must be defined with all its components. After a model of geographical and temporal prediction of this demand for electricity, which uses a Hybrid method is developed. The software Python and ARCMAP are used in order to program the module. Furthermore, the developed module considers the main requirements for a good spatial load forecasting. Land use is a key factor in this work, excluding specific areas where is not possible to have growth.