Estimating resiliency of energy distribution supply chain by Monte Carlo simulation

摘要

Reliability indices of power transmission and distribution networks are among the most important parameters which are controlled by distribution system operators. However, the sustainability of the supply in disasters cannot be deduced from reliability metrics. In these cases, resiliency indices can represent the continuity of supply in complex systems such as power distribution networks, when they are subjected to natural disasters such as earthquakes, hurricanes and floods as well as technical incidents like cascading failures in power transmission and distribution networks. In current study, we developed a practical method which can be used to estimate resiliency of power distribution networks.