Study on the Effects of China-Georgia FTA on Economics, Trade and Industries Based on the Strategy of 'One Belt and One Road'

摘要

Based on the GTAP model, this paper is aimed to analyze the effect of China - Georgia FTA on economics, trade and industry respects of these two countries with capital accumulation model and technological progress effect. Study found that: first, China - Georgia FTA positively promotes the two countries' GDP, welfare, total import and export, and worsens Georgia's trade balance and terms of trade. Second, the main reason of promoting China's economic benefits increase is factor endowment effect while Georgia's is technological progress effect. Besides, the terms of trade effect and invest-saving effect drag on growth of Georgia's welfare. Third, China - Georgia FTA mildly promote the output of each department of China with the overall fluctuation between -0.0025% and 0.0046%, while Georgia's benefit significantly. Fourth, China - Georgia FTA fully increase the import and hit the export of our country, and the Georgia's export benefits generally. Fifth, China - Georgia FTA's economics, trade and industrial effects on Georgia is significantly greater than on China.