The Study on Chinese Rural-urban Income Gap Forecast

摘要

This paper simulates the income curve with SPSS statistics software on the basis of analyzing 1978-2012 Chinese urban and rural income data. The result indicates that the rural-urban income gap will expand further in the future and the rural-urban income ratio will reach 3.81:1 in 2020 according to the existing development trend. The study in this paper also indicates that there is a close correlation between the income source and income disparity. From the angle of income source this paper finds the main factors influencing the urban and rural income gap by the method of regression analysis and gives some pertinent suggestions to narrow the rural-urban income gap.