Operational Ocean Forecasting for German Coastal Waters

摘要

A numerical ocean forecasting system for the North and Baltic Seas has been applied at the Federal Maritime and Hydrographic Agency (BSH) since several decades. The model system is under permanent revision and the latest development - the implementation of the ocean circulation model BSH-HBM - is presented here. The circulation model is of particular importance because it provides the basic information for a couple of services at the German coast, like e.g. the sea level prediction and storm surge warning service, or oil spill forecasting and search-and-rescue applications. An overview on the basic components of the model system will be given. The main part is the presentation of validation results and some applications of the new system which still is in the final calibration phase. An outlook on future developments both scientific and more technical, including completely new model components especially for data assimilation of ecosystem modelling completes the presentation.