Research on Influence Factors of Carbon Emissions and Forecast in Hebei Province

摘要

This paper determines population, GDP, the proportion of secondary industry, energy structure, science and technology progress and energy price as the main influence factors on carbon emissions according to the scholars' research results. To analysis the relationship between carbon emissions and influence factors, multi-regression equation of carbon emissions and influence factors is established based on the data of Hebei Province from 1995 to 2010. According to the data of influence factors of carbon emissions from 1995 to 2010, the paper respectively establishes each simple regression equation and forecasts its future values. Based on the predictive value of influence factors and multi-regression equation, the paper forecasts the carbon emissions and the carbon emissions of the reducing of the proportion of secondary industry in different circumstances. The conclusions can offer the decision basis for reducing carbon emissions.