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An Approach for Incorporating Context in Building Probabilistic Predictive Models

机译:一种在构建概率预测模型中将上下文的方法

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With the increasing amount of information collected through clinical practice and scientific experimentation, a growing challenge is how to utilize available resources to construct predictive models to facilitate clinical decision making. Clinicians often have questions related to the treatment and outcome of a medical problem for individual patients; however, few tools exist that leverage the large collection of patient data and scientific knowledge to answer these questions. Without appropriate context, existing data that have been collected for a specific task may not be suitable for creating new models that answer different questions. This paper presents an approach that leverages available structured or unstructured data to build a probabilistic predictive model that assists physicians with answering clinical questions on individual patients. Various challenges related to transforming available data to an end-user application are addressed: problem decomposition, variable selection, context representation, automated extraction of information from unstructured data sources, model generation, and development of an intuitive application to query the model and present the results. We describe our efforts towards building a model that predicts the risk of vasospasm in aneurysm patients.
机译:随着通过临床实践和科学实验收集到的资料越来越多,越来越大的挑战是如何利用现有资源,构建预测模型,以促进临床决策。临床医生往往有相关的待遇和个别患者所患的问题,结果问题;然而,一些工具存在,充分利用大量收集病人数据和科学知识来回答这些问题。如果没有适当的范围内,已收集特定任务的现有数据可能不适合用于创建新的模型回答不同的问题。本文提出了利用现有结构化或非结构化数据建立一个概率预测模型的方法是助攻回答有关个别病人的临床问题的医生。与可用数据转换为一个最终用户应用各种挑战被寻址:问题分解,变量选择,上下文表示,从非结构化数据源,模型生成信息自动提取,和直观的应用程序的开发来查询模型和存在于结果。我们描述了我们对建设一个预测血管痉挛的动脉瘤患者的风险模型的努力。

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