Model of passenger travel shares rate in transportation corridor between cities

摘要

It is necessary to predict passenger shares rate in intercity comprehensive passenger transport channel in order to estimate role of all kinds of transport modes in intercity comprehensive passenger transport channel. Therefore, introduced different characters variables to utility function, binding passenger transportation characters of intercity comprehensive passenger transport channel, improved the application of Logit model, built a prediction model of passenger shares rate in intercity comprehensive passenger transport channel. Take passenger transport channels of Guangzhou-Huizhou, Shenzhen-Huizhou, Dongguan-Huizhou, conducts prediction and calculation three kinds of ways of transport modes of shares rate. Including railway passenger transportation, road passenger transportation and nonoperational vehicles. The results demonstrate: the improved model could predict passenger transportation ways of intercity comprehensive passenger transport channel effectively.